Eh? We should trust scientists less than normal when they warn us of something particularly bad? Why? Just because it might upset us unnecessarily if they turn out to be wrong? And what if they turn out to be right and we've done bugger all about what they warned us about because we were mincing about saying, "I'm not going to believe it until I have to?"extractorfan wrote:No, because climate scientists are predicting something cataclysmic. That sort of prediction requires special attention. Same with peak oil.clv101 wrote:
Rationally, we'd trust the climate scientists as we trust the other specialists.
Interesting
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"We're just waiting, looking skyward as the days go down / Someone promised there'd be answers if we stayed around."
- Mean Mr Mustard
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Cool. So per capita GDP rises from £22895 to £49812 in 2050. But I'll be 87 and too old to enjoy it.
Unless that's £1000 for me and most others and a few trillion for the Investment Banksters.
Unless that's £1000 for me and most others and a few trillion for the Investment Banksters.
1855 Advertisement for Kier's Rock Oil -
"Hurry, before this wonderful product is depleted from Nature’s laboratory."
The Future's so Bright, I gotta wear Night Vision Goggles...
"Hurry, before this wonderful product is depleted from Nature’s laboratory."
The Future's so Bright, I gotta wear Night Vision Goggles...
This is from Hansard on 11th Oct 2010:
Wales has a target of everyone having and ecological footprint of 1.88 global hectares per person within a generation, lets say 2050 when the population will be 3.5 million. That should be all we need to work it out for Wales!
Code: Select all
2020 2030 2050 2108
United Kingdom 66.5 70.6 76.8 92.5
England 56.0 59.7 65.7 81.1
Wales 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.9
Scotland 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.6
Northern Ireland 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0
- UndercoverElephant
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No, it seems obvious to me but it musn't be. If scientisis are agreed on say, drug x is a good way of fighting depression, you may want to look at some of the studies they've done or you may not, you may be happy that the drug is being used by people that seem to not be having adverse effects. That's just an example, I'm not equating drug testing to CC. My point is that deciding if you or someone you care about should go along with scientific consensus in this way, does not have a profound effect on how you view the world or plan for your future. But if what scientists are agreed on is basically saying, if you don't change your behaviour it will be changed for you in ways that will be very painful, it is a wholly different matter.Ludwig wrote: Eh? We should trust scientists less than normal when they warn us of something particularly bad? Why?
Maybe I shouldn't use the word "you" and should change it to "we" as in, the people of the free developed world, who have the most privalidged access to information of any generation preceeding us and probably any generation in the future.
That is why "we" should not take consensus as our reasons for accepting a belief. And if that is the reason why someone accepts a belief then fine, it's a free country, but they shouldn't expect their arguments to be convincing for those with an enquiring mind.
By the way, I only read 1 book about it, it's not like I needed to see every piece of data and check its origins, just that it was a well structured theory with good reason to believe. Being called a climate change deniar was never going to do that, quite possibly the opposite.
Can't remember the name of the bloody book now either, but it will come to me.
Go for it ziggy, I really like the peak oil man video too.
- emordnilap
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True to a large extent. Choices are deliberately limited. It's a long journey.UndercoverElephant wrote:That is because they are part of The System, and there's little they can actually do about it.Lord Beria3 wrote:Very few greens actually live the lifestyle they preach.
Have a read through this. It puts it in perspective.
I experience pleasure and pains, and pursue goals in service of them, so I cannot reasonably deny the right of other sentient agents to do the same - Steven Pinker
- emordnilap
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George OrwellAll political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes, and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome.
I experience pleasure and pains, and pursue goals in service of them, so I cannot reasonably deny the right of other sentient agents to do the same - Steven Pinker
- UndercoverElephant
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Thanks for the link. I sympathise with the views of Paul Kingsnorth.emordnilap wrote:True to a large extent. Choices are deliberately limited. It's a long journey.UndercoverElephant wrote:That is because they are part of The System, and there's little they can actually do about it.Lord Beria3 wrote:Very few greens actually live the lifestyle they preach.
Have a read through this. It puts it in perspective.
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