What does RGR actually want.

Forum for general discussion of Peak Oil / Oil depletion; also covering related subjects

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careful_eugene
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Post by careful_eugene »

Miss Madam wrote:In answer to the thread title ..... errrr 'a slap'? *I'll get my coat, again* sorry RGR you do make me think (and I appreciate that) but sometimes you remind me of one of those blokes who goes to hookers to get physically abused and pays for it.... :?
Hey, don't knock it until you've tried it :)
Paid up member of the Petite bourgeoisie
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UndercoverElephant
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Re: What does RGR actually want.

Post by UndercoverElephant »

RGR wrote:After having begun another round of "internet trolls are everywhere and unless you are on the cover of Economist you aren't worth listening to" with Vortex, I decided to consider the following.

I certainly come across as a bomb thrower, without much in the way of constructive commentary to some. Fair enough. I have explained my way of thinking a time or two, which undoubtedly not everyone caught, and I try not to repeat the basics any more than necessary.

But if I ask myself the question, WHY do I continue in this, it boils down to a simple, realistic answer.

I want people to THINK before they buy in. And I believe they should CONTINUE to do so AFTER they buy in.
RGR

I am going to say to you exactly what I said before. If you really, truly believe that we are fabricating/imagining this problem - buying into something that really does not exist - then why are you here? It doesn't add up. Why don't you just get on with your life and forget about all those silly peak-oilers? I don't believe for one moment that you are here to help us. You'd have nothing to gain by doing so and I don't believe you are just being intently and persistently altruistic. What would make sense would be that in fact all these people who believe that peak oil has already happened really worry you and in order to relieve your worries you want to try to convince peak-oilers that it isn't happening. That way you will be more comfortable in your denial, right? Or is it that you are scared that if you aren't here denying it, we will influence innocent newbies into believing things that are false? Again, why would you bother? What's in it for you?

I can understand why atheists go and post on Christian boards and why philosophers and religious people might go and post on Richard Dawkins board - because in those cases the people in question are defending some religious belief they hold against people who hold the opposite view. But this isn't religion. It is a claim about world oil production that we believe is true and you believe is false. So what? Why do you care?

The sort of people you find on this board are, on the whole, thinkers rather than followers. We don't need you to remind us of the need to keep our wits about us. Keeping our wits about us is part of the reason why we are here.

Geoff
ziggy12345
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Post by ziggy12345 »

Although I am of the opinion that problems with oil supply will arrive sooner rather than later I do hear arguments to the contrary. I also feel that a person with inside knowledge of the whole situation might be able to have some input. In the end you need to hear all sides of the argument and make an informed decision.

I will take into consideration any information based on facts (if there are such things) and compare this will all the other information going around to see if this is acceptable to the model of the world I have created in my head.

I feel RGR's point of view very relevant to the debate and should be welcomed.

I have other points of discussion that are contrary to the accepted principle and that is the model of decline based on the number of operating rigs, the type of operations they are carrying out, the areas where they are allowed to operate, the availability of decent acreage and the taxes levied on the oil companies and also the nationalisation of the oil companies and the competence of the personnel Not to mention all the red tape heaped on top. Oh and the price

All of the things listed above have had a negative effect on the discovery of new fields over the last 20 years

Less rig
Not the right king of rigs
Depletion in existing reservoirs requiring rigs to drill production wells and not exploration wells
Rigs now $500,000 a day rent
Not enough areas to released on the market and massive competition for the ones that are increasing the risks.
Massive taxes increases
Governments taking everything away from you
Local personnel not sufficiently trained to carry out basic operations
Carbon taxes
API specs
Environmental taxes
Etc...
Etc..
Etc..

Is it any wonder we haven't found enough oil? Is this due to geological constraints alone??

Absolutely not. If I had a decent oil company I would sell it and go and live in Barbados and bollocks to everybody.

Cheers
RGR

Post by RGR »

[quote="Welsh Wizard"]
Last edited by RGR on 04 Aug 2011, 06:26, edited 2 times in total.
RGR

Post by RGR »

[quote="Welsh Wizard"]
Last edited by RGR on 04 Aug 2011, 06:26, edited 2 times in total.
RGR

Re: What does RGR actually want.

Post by RGR »

[quote="UndercoverElephant"]
RGR
Last edited by RGR on 04 Aug 2011, 06:26, edited 2 times in total.
MacG
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Post by MacG »

What RGR wants? I thought that was pretty obvious since quite some time: Attention.
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DominicJ
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Post by DominicJ »

We THINK we have seen SOME geologic constraints on supply...in SOME places. ALL discoveries of oil are still outpacing consumption by a good margin ( I include more than new field discoveries of course ). Your question about sustainability works fine in a all encompassing sense, but doesn't apply currently.
Any proof/explanation on that?
Well, that is one of the more sexier scenario's that American Doomers want to pretend is a natural consequence of higher fuel prices. I tend to think it will cause an ENERGY revolution, which is a good thing, rather than just pissing off people who will then run around and burn things down for fun.
Greece is on its second week of riots over high costs, low pay and unemployment.
Not caused by peak oil, but high oil prices are likely to cause those things.
Then ask yourself, if we've already discovered THAT many Saudi Arabi's in just 10 years, can it be that difficult to do it again?
Strawman
We didnt discover Saudi 10 years ago, we discovered it in the 20's and have been pumping it ever since.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Top_O ... unties.png
However the amount pumped, as a percentage of the field and as a gross amount has not been stable over that time

We havent discovered half a saudi over the last 10 years
I'm a realist, not a hippie
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Andy Hunt
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Re: What does RGR actually want.

Post by Andy Hunt »

RGR wrote:I resent the fact that my industry, which is responsible for more people living longer, feeding more people and providing a better standard of living to large chunks of the world being blamed or used by some fringe group as a trigger to their own personal orgy of nonsense. In the case of the UK, peak oil isn't the issue, your dependence on foreign suppliers for natural gas can be laid right at the feet of politicians who don't want to build offshore wind farms or more nukes, it isn't peak natural gases fault, or the oil industry. Don't like being an energy importer? Join the club....but it isn't by itself a disaster, and its not the oil industries fault. Want to change it? Join the club, and that isn't the oil industries fault either.

Go blame someone else already. In the meantime, I will continue pointing out the obvious.
I don't think I recall a single poster on Powerswitch ever blaming the oil industry for peak oil.

Sounds like a very large strawman to me. Unless you can find me some quotations RGR.
Andy Hunt
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Eternal Sunshine wrote: I wouldn't want to worry you with the truth. :roll:
MacG
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Re: What does RGR actually want.

Post by MacG »

Andy Hunt wrote:
RGR wrote:I resent the fact that my industry, which is responsible for more people living longer, feeding more people and providing a better standard of living to large chunks of the world being blamed or used by some fringe group as a trigger to their own personal orgy of nonsense. In the case of the UK, peak oil isn't the issue, your dependence on foreign suppliers for natural gas can be laid right at the feet of politicians who don't want to build offshore wind farms or more nukes, it isn't peak natural gases fault, or the oil industry. Don't like being an energy importer? Join the club....but it isn't by itself a disaster, and its not the oil industries fault. Want to change it? Join the club, and that isn't the oil industries fault either.

Go blame someone else already. In the meantime, I will continue pointing out the obvious.
I don't think I recall a single poster on Powerswitch ever blaming the oil industry for peak oil.

Sounds like a very large strawman to me. Unless you can find me some quotations RGR.
Hmm.. An attention whoring troll with ADHD. Pretty exotic. Maybe we could sell him to a zoo?
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RenewableCandy
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Re: What does RGR actually want.

Post by RenewableCandy »

MacG wrote:
Hmm.. ... Pretty exotic. Maybe we could sell him to a zoo?
Hey that's not fair! He might turn into an attention-seeking psycho like that polar bear cub in Germany...erm...oops! :oops:
Soyez réaliste. Demandez l'impossible.
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UndercoverElephant
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Re: What does RGR actually want.

Post by UndercoverElephant »

RGR wrote:
UndercoverElephant wrote: RGR

I am going to say to you exactly what I said before. If you really, truly believe that we are fabricating/imagining this problem - buying into something that really does not exist - then why are you here?
I've already answered this question. I resent the fact that my industry, which is responsible for more people living longer, feeding more people and providing a better standard of living to large chunks of the world being blamed or used by some fringe group as a trigger to their own personal orgy of nonsense.
Rhetoric will get you nowhere.

I wasn't aware that anybody was blaming the oil industry for this problem. They blame the oil industry for quite a lot of things, but not the fact that the oil production is peaking. So I still don't understand your answer. Got one that makes sense?
In the case of the UK, peak oil isn't the issue, your dependence on foreign suppliers for natural gas can be laid right at the feet of politicians who don't want to build offshore wind farms or more nukes, it isn't peak natural gases fault, or the oil industry. Don't like being an energy importer? Join the club....but it isn't by itself a disaster, and its not the oil industries fault. Want to change it? Join the club, and that isn't the oil industries fault either.
Of course it isn't. This is a failure of human nature and politics, no different to any of the others except for the scale and rapidity of the consequences. The real problem isn't oil depletion - it's overpopulation and the normal human failure to acknowledge a serious problem until it is far too late to do anything about it.
Go blame someone else already. In the meantime, I will continue pointing out the obvious.
What appears obvious to some people often turns out not to be true, RGR. It is obvious to me that this planet can't support 7bn+ people for more than a couple of generations and it is equally obvious that oil is the single resource on which we are most critically dependent. It is also obvious how that story ends.
Welsh Wizard
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Post by Welsh Wizard »

Then ask yourself, if we've already discovered THAT many Saudi Arabi's in just 10 years, can it be that difficult to do it again? Very Happy
Ah, the cornucopian argument. The point you make is ridiculous: We have been successful in the past at finding and tapping a non-renewable resource, thus we will in future be successful in finding non-renewable resource.... It simply doesnt hold true, and cannot work that way.

Logically the prospects for future discoveries are worse having been so successful in the past: The problem is that we have searched pretty well the entire globe for oil with the exception of the polar regions. The good prospects have been found. We are largely finding the dregs, fields less than 100mn barrels, which are tiddlers in comparison with the supergiant fields of the mid 20th century discoveries.
Welsh Wizard
Bozzio
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Post by Bozzio »

RGR wrote:
Bozzio wrote: Who cares whether the rate of depletion is 6% or 0.0006%.
Well, the planners who have to plan for the transition, for one.

I'm an oil and gas guy, all I know about hydrogen is I can make it from water and a nuclear plant all day long with little chance of someone proclaiming "peak hydrogen".

As far as peak oil and the price of oil? Thats an economic issue, and its obviously an economic solution, which is why the supply of oil, taken by itself, doesn't matter much.
I can see why your status as troll is well deserved what with your continued desire to avoid giving serious answers. So on the one hand you attempt to correct my comment about depletion rate as above by saying oil declines will matter then suggest that there will be easy economic solutions to peak oil and less oil won't be a problem. Now make up your mind!

I'm sure you are a very good oil industry expert but an economist you are not and you appear to be completely ignorant of how the world works. Sure there will be answers but they will only be implemented if us so called chicken littles make enough noise in society to get the subject noticed. Sadly we'll all be screwed if the world listens to people like you. Clearly you'd rather spend your time criticising others without offering real evidence or solutions. It's quite pathetic really.
Last edited by Bozzio on 16 Dec 2008, 22:22, edited 2 times in total.
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Kentucky Fried Panda
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Post by Kentucky Fried Panda »

Maybe what RGR wants is to stop talking about himself in the 3rd person.
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