snow hope wrote:Haggis wrote: How did America get over the last depression? Don't say prozac...
The had a war - it was called WWII
And they had a massive EXPANSION in all respects. Extracted more oil and minerals, built more cars and roads, more houses, shops, offices and factories.
All this expansion of everything was done with money created from nothing, and then lent out at interest. As long as the expansion of the physical manifestations and expansion of oil and mineral extraction was larger than the average real interest charged, everything was just fine.
As soon as we hit some kind of PeakOil in 2005, the physical expansion stopped and people suddenly had problems paying interest on their loans. There was no expansion to borrow more money against.
The only way forward for the existing system now is pure financial expansion - create more and more money in order to be able to pay interest on the old loans. This will of course lead to inflation, but EVERYBODY in charge will promote this solution. It's the only solution they know.
On a very speculative note, if the US is kicked from the world economy, there will probably be oil for continued expansion in eastern Europe and BRIC for another 10-15 years. Maybe 20 years if we have a five year recession first.