New coronavirus in/from China

Forum for general discussion of Peak Oil / Oil depletion; also covering related subjects

Moderator: Peak Moderation

fuzzy
Posts: 1388
Joined: 29 Nov 2013, 15:08
Location: The Marches, UK

Post by fuzzy »

Astonishingly, the chinese gov has now ordered 3 cities to stop travelling

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/as ... u-12312064
User avatar
clv101
Site Admin
Posts: 10555
Joined: 24 Nov 2005, 11:09
Contact:

Post by clv101 »

20 million people on lockdown is quite remarkable, I wonder how long that situation can be sustained, surely not more than a week or two. Also, it could be interpreted in two ways. Either they are doing the responsible thing, making all efforts to prevent the virus escape (albeit a week late), or the situation on the ground is a lot worse than they are letting on.
User avatar
adam2
Site Admin
Posts: 10901
Joined: 02 Jul 2007, 17:49
Location: North Somerset, twinned with Atlantis

Post by adam2 »

I suspect that the situation on the ground is very much worse than is being admitted by TPTB in china.
The present lockdown will make it easier to conceal the true state of affairs, for example mass burials or cremations without witnesses.

AFAIK our government have not yet issued any call to "not panic." Any such announcement would a sure sign of a most serious situation.

It would in my view be prudent to review ones preps for any large scale spread in the UK.
Preps for a UK pandemic may be discussed in this thread
http://www.powerswitch.org.uk/forum/vie ... 495#257495
"Installers and owners of emergency diesels must assume that they will have to run for a week or more"
User avatar
careful_eugene
Posts: 647
Joined: 26 Jun 2006, 15:39
Location: Nottingham UK

Post by careful_eugene »

clv101 wrote: or the situation on the ground is a lot worse than they are letting on.
If the situation was worse than they are admitting, don't you think we'd know? Are the Chinese able to control all communications from the affected areas?
Paid up member of the Petite bourgeoisie
User avatar
adam2
Site Admin
Posts: 10901
Joined: 02 Jul 2007, 17:49
Location: North Somerset, twinned with Atlantis

Post by adam2 »

careful_eugene wrote:
clv101 wrote: or the situation on the ground is a lot worse than they are letting on.
If the situation was worse than they are admitting, don't you think we'd know? Are the Chinese able to control all communications from the affected areas?
I suspect that they can control ALMOST ALL communication from the affected area. Any limited reports that do leak out may then be dismissed as CIA propaganda, or the work of "foreign powers" or "counter revolutionaries"

And of course people spreading panic can simply be executed.
"Installers and owners of emergency diesels must assume that they will have to run for a week or more"
fuzzy
Posts: 1388
Joined: 29 Nov 2013, 15:08
Location: The Marches, UK

Post by fuzzy »

2 quarantined in scotland from a chinese flight

woops, now 4

https://www.irishpost.com/news/four-peo ... sit-177829
User avatar
adam2
Site Admin
Posts: 10901
Joined: 02 Jul 2007, 17:49
Location: North Somerset, twinned with Atlantis

Post by adam2 »

Possible cases now reported in Northern Ireland, according to ITV evening news, west country edition. (18-32 on Jan 23)
"Installers and owners of emergency diesels must assume that they will have to run for a week or more"
User avatar
UndercoverElephant
Posts: 13499
Joined: 10 Mar 2008, 00:00
Location: UK

Post by UndercoverElephant »

User avatar
PS_RalphW
Posts: 6977
Joined: 24 Nov 2005, 11:09
Location: Cambridge

Post by PS_RalphW »

mirror now reporting 6 suspected cases in uk

I think we will find out in the next few days whether this is a big deal or not. Spread appears to be very fast.

Better half is on antidepressant drugs and suffers very badly with chesty colds.
fuzzy
Posts: 1388
Joined: 29 Nov 2013, 15:08
Location: The Marches, UK

Post by fuzzy »

I suppose I will get sick of cous cous tinned mackerel and fruit salad after a year.
User avatar
UndercoverElephant
Posts: 13499
Joined: 10 Mar 2008, 00:00
Location: UK

Post by UndercoverElephant »

CUHK professor Guan Yi speaking to Caixin Media interviewee (my best attempt at verbatim, source: http://www.caixin.com/2020-01-23/101507670.html) :

"This time it is different from SARS. There is no comparison. 60-70% of SARS infectees caught the virus from a few individual super-infectors. The chain of infection was clear, and all that had to be done was to block these few people.

This time, the infectors have spread all around at this point. We can no longer conduct an epidemiological survey.

A conservative estimate would be that the scale of the infection is 10 times as that of SARS. I have experienced this much, but never have I been this scared. Most (of other epidemics) could be controlled, but this time I am frightened."
Could this be the big one?
fuzzy
Posts: 1388
Joined: 29 Nov 2013, 15:08
Location: The Marches, UK

Post by fuzzy »

PS_RalphW wrote:mirror now reporting 6 suspected cases in uk

I think we will find out in the next few days whether this is a big deal or not. Spread appears to be very fast.

Better half is on antidepressant drugs and suffers very badly with chesty colds.
Guaifenesin is the stuff that works. It appears to be unobtainium in the UK. It used to be £1 a bottle from bells healthcare at every pound shop, but someone has pulled it - except for v expensive brand drugs:
https://www.ebay.co.uk/sch/i.html?_nkw= ... %7Ciid%3A1
I am waiting for some from the US. It has the added advantage of interacting with paracetemol and aspirin. Take both and you will have a sleep that will put the narcotic trade out of business. Now I wonder why you can't get it??
User avatar
UndercoverElephant
Posts: 13499
Joined: 10 Mar 2008, 00:00
Location: UK

Post by UndercoverElephant »

If this is real, then there's some major shit about to go down:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8u6oc9T ... e=youtu.be

Lots of news filtering out now that this virus is dangerous and the Chinese authorities have tried to suppress news of how bad it is.
fuzzy
Posts: 1388
Joined: 29 Nov 2013, 15:08
Location: The Marches, UK

Post by fuzzy »

anyone who like doomer prn will connect this:

https://www.nature.com/news/inside-the- ... ns-1.21487
Little John

Post by Little John »

UndercoverElephant wrote:If this is real, then there's some major shit about to go down:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8u6oc9T ... e=youtu.be

Lots of news filtering out now that this virus is dangerous and the Chinese authorities have tried to suppress news of how bad it is.
I certainly hope so. Lots of problems solved in one go if it's bad enough. I'm content to take my chances.

But let's be honest. It's probably going to kill a few and then that will be that.
Post Reply