It's hurricane time...

emordnilap · Post by **emordnilap** » 15 Sep 2018, 12:12

Kunstler is savage, love reading his stuff.

raspberry-blower wrote:Kunstler on Hurricane Florence

Potemkin Villager · Post by **Potemkin Villager** » 15 Sep 2018, 12:14

raspberry-blower wrote:Kunstler on Hurricane Florence

James Howard Kunstler wrote:

The demographic shifts of recent decades turned a lot of it into an endless theme park of All-You-Can-Eat buffets, drive-in beer emporia, hamburger palaces, gated retirement subdivisions, evangelical churches built like giant muffler shops, vast wastelands of free parking, and all the other trappings of the greatest misallocation of resources in the history of the world. Like many of historyâ€™s prankish proceedings, it seemed like a good idea at the time.

It's the way he tells 'em! Of course this is not just a description of the US.

emordnilap · Post by **emordnilap** » 19 Sep 2018, 14:06

BTW, I'm looking forward to the first category 6 hurricane; that should be fun.

emordnilap · Post by **emordnilap** » 10 Oct 2018, 11:08

Hurricane Michael heading for Florida

Category 4 storms are considered highly dangerous with winds up to 250km/h, according to the US National Hurricane Centre.

Is that a typo? 250?

Hurricane Michael is an unprecedented event and cannot be compared to any of our previous events.

Maybe it's not.

Post by **kenneal - lagger** » 10 Oct 2018, 13:04

According to this Tropical Storm Force winds could hit the West of Ireland in five days.

The whole of the East of the US is going to get a good dowsing over the next few days as well with up to 15 inches of rain in places and up to 6 inches over a wide area from the Gulf to Washington DC.

Let's just hope Trump gets extremely wet. Some of it might soak into his tiny brain and germinate some sense. I don't hold out much hope of that.

Post by **kenneal - lagger** » 10 Oct 2018, 13:10

Hurricane Leslie has bee pottering around the mid Atlantic now for at least a week but now seems to be heading towards the African coast. I can't remember seeing a hurricane do this before; be so long lived and then head off east.

emordnilap · Post by **emordnilap** » 10 Oct 2018, 13:42

kenneal - lagger wrote:According to this Tropical Storm Force winds could hit the West of Ireland in five days.

Ours has been called Callum by the Irish MET. There's been debate in the past 24 hours as to weather (!) it will hit our entire coast or just catch the northern part of the island.

We've got truly beautiful, though blustery, weather as I type. It looks like very severe gales at the very least for me personally; the coast will get a lashing in combination with high tides.

emordnilap · Post by **emordnilap** » 10 Oct 2018, 16:21

'Too late to flee'

The storm is forecast to make landfall on Florida's Gulf Coast, and is expected to be the largest storm to hit the region in 100 years.

Florida Governor Rick Scott warned citizens of "unimaginable devastation".

At least 13 people reportedly died in Central America over the weekend as a result of storm rains and floods.

Ah. One of those 'once in 100 years' events. Fine.

Post by **kenneal - lagger** » 10 Oct 2018, 17:02

Although it probably won't be another 100 years before the next one hits, especially if the Donald gets his way with coal burning.

Post by **clv101** » 10 Oct 2018, 21:39

This storm highlights, yet again, how poor the weather models are at intensity. Models are excellent on storm track these days, even 7 days out. But intensity is controlled by very fine scale processes that the models just can't capture.

Landfall at 155mph was totally unexpected just 36hrs out.

UndercoverElephant · Post by **UndercoverElephant** » 11 Oct 2018, 21:52

WTF is Hurricane Leslie? It has been meandering about in the central Atlantic for over two weeks, like it is doing an impression of Jupiter's "great red spot". Now it is predicted to head back towards Africa, then double back on itself again while downgraded to a depression. Is it going to turn back into a hurricane and head off towards the US? If so, this has got to be the most long-lived Atlantic storm on record, no?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.s ... e#contents

vtsnowedin · Post by **vtsnowedin** » 12 Oct 2018, 01:48

UndercoverElephant wrote:WTF is Hurricane Leslie? It has been meandering about in the central Atlantic for over two weeks, like it is doing an impression of Jupiter's "great red spot". Now it is predicted to head back towards Africa, then double back on itself again while downgraded to a depression. Is it going to turn back into a hurricane and head off towards the US? If so, this has got to be the most long-lived Atlantic storm on record, no?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.s ... e#contents

Could it be that these storms have been typical every time the climate was inter glacial for say the last four million years or so? In that case the "On record" data set is just an eye blink of the total data needed to draw any conclusions.

raspberry-blower · Post by **raspberry-blower** » 14 Oct 2018, 13:55

Hurricane Michael caused extensive damage - particularly at Tyndall AFB