Brexit process

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vtsnowedin
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Post by vtsnowedin »

RenewableCandy wrote:1. VT, about our Insulin supplies, this is only what I've seen in various news outlets. P.M. May herself is a Type 1 diabetic so this could get interesting.


A bit old but you might find this interesting reading.
http://haiweb.org/wp-content/uploads/20 ... _FINAL.pdf
Considering my family history and my current health status I expect one day to need insulin in one form or another. The topic has my attention.
stumuz1
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Post by stumuz1 »

RenewableCandy wrote: The Leavers & their xenophobic hangers-on
A very sad and disappointing statement.
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Potemkin Villager
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Post by Potemkin Villager »

stumuz1 wrote:
adam2 wrote:The bulk of the beer consumed in the UK is made here, with imports being a small proportion of sales, no problem.
Phew!
A very sad and disappointing statement. Just what are you trying to say here?
Overconfidence, not just expert overconfidence but general overconfidence,
is one of the most common illusions we experience. Stan Robinson
stumuz1
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Post by stumuz1 »

We are not, contrary to recent disinformation campaigns, going to run out of beer.

Simple. No abuse.
stumuz1
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Post by stumuz1 »

vtsnowedin wrote:Considering my family history and my current health status I expect one day to need insulin in one form or another. The topic has my attention.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/sanofi-has ... 1533066633

Turns out said Froggy company has been stockpiling for the last six months.

Who'd have thunked it! A large French pharmaceutical company making sure they have enough stock to sell to their UK customers.
Little John

Post by Little John »

Anybody recognize themselves?

"Liberal smugness will destroy the Left"

https://unherd.com/2018/07/liberal-smug ... troy-left/
“There is a smug style in American liberalism,� wrote Emmett Rensin in a justly celebrated essay for the Vox web site. “It has been growing these past decades. It is a way of conducting politics, predicated on the belief that American life is not divided by moral difference or policy divergence — not really — but by the failure of half the country to know what’s good for them.�

Rensin wrote these words back in April 2016, before Brexit and before Trump. And time has made them even more pertinent. One might even call them prophetic. For if liberals used to adopt “a condescending, defensive sneer toward any person or movement outside of its consensus, dressed up as a monopoly on reason� before, they do so even more these days. And for the most part they are wholly unrepentant about it. Indeed, they are more often than not proud of their superiority complex. They are in the right, after all.

Rensen argues that the liberal smugness in the US is a consequence of the long decline in the number of working-class Democrats. In 1948, 66% of manual labourers voted for the Democrats. That figure was 55% in 1964. And 35% in 1980. And voting Democrat among the white working class has seen an even sharper decline.

So by the Nineties, Rensin argues, the old alliance between the working class and the progressive, college-educated elites began to break apart, leaving the graduates puzzling to themselves why they had been abandoned by the working class. Thomas Frank asked the question, in 2004, with his best selling book: What is the Matter with Kansas? And the answer that they began to develop was that the working class were basically too stupid to know what was in their best interest.

Frank, for example, argues that the Kansas working class have been duped by a Republican alliance of social conservatism and economic liberalism. The Republicans, he contends, make conservative noises (though not much more) about social issues – gay rights, abortion etc – so as to garner working-class support for a set of economic policies that only ever benefit the wealthy. In other words, they are duped. And why are they duped? Because they are stupid.

Rensin’s analysis is of the United States – but it feels uncomfortably close to the state of play in the United Kingdom in the run up to Brexit. What is the matter with the Midlands? Progressives offer a similar answer: foolish Leavers have been duped by an appeal to patriotism and the fear of immigration as a way to get them to vote against their own economic interests. The only explanation for this is that they were too stupid to know what was going on – idiots who were sold a fantasy on the side of a bus.

As in the United States, the progressive graduate community has developed its own brand of humour to be directed towards the traditional working class conservative or Brexiter. In the United States, it is John Oliver on The Late Show, among others, who draws a great deal of his humour from taking the piss out of the easy target of idiot Trump supporters.

Over here something similar is going on with comedians such as Marcus Brigstocke and Stuart Lee, both of whom had 20 minutes of Brexit material in their stand up routine last year, with Brigstocke noting that, outside of London, he had people walking out of his show every night. And it is not just Brigstocke, comedy is now dominated by the middle-class college-educated progressive perspective.

As Aaron Brown, editor of the British Comedy Guide, noted: “I would say the comedy world’s reaction [to Brexit] has been almost exclusively negative.� Robin Ince, Chris Addison, Eddie Izzard, David Schneider and so on, they all have this air of intellectual superiority, using comedy to look down on those who see the world from a different perspective. The satire of the middle-class comedian towards those idiots who voted Leave – and the cheap Twitter derivative of this humour – has shown itself up as pretty bad at checking its own privilege.

A similar intellectual smugness pervades the way this same group approaches religion. To be religious – and Christian especially – like being a Brexiter, is to have made some basic intellectual mistake that you can only make if you are stupid or in some way morally corrupt. And mistakes like this are not worth arguing with, they just need to be ridiculed. Forget the need to engage with St Thomas Aquinas when all you have to do is reference the flying spaghetti monster.

This approaches the heart of the matter. Rensin argues that what is often behind liberal smugness is the philosophical assumption that the difference between people politically is always a difference of knowing various facts, not a difference of ideology. This is the problem with the empiricist approach to politics: the fact-based assessments and belief that evidence only should drive our disagreements. For when fact-based empiricism comes to dominate the cultural and intellectual apparatus of the liberal world-view, then it can only be a knowledge of the facts that divides people.

This is where progressive smugness comes from: the idea that I know stuff that you do not. It is not that we disagree ideologically, because ideology is dead. All that is left is facts and knowing facts. And either you know the facts or you don’t. And we do. And you don’t.

When it comes to Brexit – as with Thomas Frank and Kansas – it is widely insisted upon that no one could possibly have voted against their own economic interests knowingly. No one voted to be poorer, Anna Soubry told the Commons in an impassioned speech last week. The argument goes on thus: because Brexit will make us poorer, the Brexit-voting working class cannot have known what they were doing. So either they are stupid or (which amounts to the same thing) easily manipulated by the dark forces of those who do have much to gain.

But what if people did indeed think that there was something about Brexit that was more important that GDP? Why is it impossible to consider that possibility, that some people were indeed prepared to accept a relatively poorer country as a price worth paying for a more independent one? That some things are more important than money?

What middle-class liberals really do need to appreciate is that the difference between their perspective and that of the Trump supporter or the Brexiter is not one of ignorance of facts, but one of basic philosophy. It is not a mistake or ignorance that other people want to live in a very different world with very different values.

The smug sneer that progressives direct towards those who are “too stupid to know what is in their best interest� is premised upon a massive misreading of the situation. The Trump supporter and the Brexiter – and yes, of course I generalise – has a different philosophical perspective. Ideology has not gone away. It has returned in popular form. And that grin of intellectual superiority only feeds the opposition to the liberal perspective.

Rensin ends his essay with a brilliant call to action:

"...This is not a call for civility. Manners are not enough. The smug style did not arise by accident, and it cannot be abolished with a little self-reproach. So long as liberals cannot find common cause with the larger section of the American working class, they will search for reasons to justify that failure. They will resent them. They will find, over and over, how easy it is to justify abandoning them further. They will choose the smug style...."

Which is exactly the point that needs to be made over here as well. Brexit has also bred a deep smugness in progressive circles. And what progressives do not seem to realise is that this attitude has the capacity to totally destroy the alliance that we used to call the Left. Or maybe, depressingly, it is already too late.
Last edited by Little John on 03 Aug 2018, 01:00, edited 3 times in total.
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RenewableCandy
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Post by RenewableCandy »

stumuz1 wrote:
RenewableCandy wrote: The Leavers & their xenophobic hangers-on
A very sad and disappointing statement.
Sad BUT TRUE.

Whatever the noble motives of some of the original Leave folk, the Leave thing in general has unleashed a storm of xenophobia. If you know ANYONE from Continental Europe who lives here, you'll have heard about it.
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Little John

Post by Little John »

RenewableCandy wrote:
stumuz1 wrote:
RenewableCandy wrote: The Leavers & their xenophobic hangers-on
A very sad and disappointing statement.
Sad BUT TRUE.

Whatever the noble motives of some of the original Leave folk, the Leave thing in general has unleashed a storm of xenophobia. If you know ANYONE from Continental Europe who lives here, you'll have heard about it.
What a load of rubbish. The reason for both Brexit AND the rise of the far right is not Brexit. These are both correlates of each other. They are not causally related. The cause is 35 years of globalist neo-liberalism, of which the EU is one faction, coupled with mainstream parties of the Left being taken over by a liberal bourgeoisie who, having lost the economic wars to Thatcher an Reagan, then set about making their accommodations of and being apologists for that same globalist neo-liberalism. Meanwhile, leaving the poor, internal proletariat of nations to rot on the basis of a political calculation that the poor would just keep on voting for them out of political habit. Well that game is now well and truly over and the proletariat is rebelling. However, at precisely the time that there should be a healthy, authentic Left to pick up their grievances and give them a voice, the authentic Left is nowhere to be f***ing seen. So, the swivel eyed looney right are more than happy to fill the political vacuum left behind by a smug liberal faux-left political intelligentsia, aided and abetted by petite bourgeois useful idiots in the media and wider population. People just like you.

You reap what you sow
stumuz1
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Post by stumuz1 »

RenewableCandy wrote: Sad BUT TRUE.
Highly subjective at best.
RenewableCandy wrote: unleashed a storm of xenophobia.
Flowery language does not equate to reality. In reality the UK is, and has always been, a very open and welcoming society. Compare the current UK with Italy, Hungary, Poland. There is no 'storm of xenophobia'
RenewableCandy wrote:If you know ANYONE from Continental Europe who lives here, you'll have heard about it.
Not only do I know but also work with said Continentals, Indians, Turks, Yanks, Canadians, South Americans. Which really puts paid to your argument. Why are they all here when we are experiencing a 'storm of xenophobia'?

I will proffer a Two Reasons reasons:

1/ We are not witnessing a 'storm of xenophobia'

2/ Greece has 45% Youth unemployment and the the young Greek woman I was auditing and sharing a coffee with last week stated that there were not many similar jobs for her in Greece, and if there were it would be laden with family group corruption on who would get the job. The job she got here was on merit and the pay was very good. She had no intention oF returning. If she was going to leave it would be to the US.

If you want some empiric evidence of why certain sections of the population voted leave take a look at Debt to GDP.

Pre 2007 Debt to GDP was 40%. A healthy figure and easily manageable.

Post crash and after bailing out the banks Debt to GDP was 90%.

When Debt to GDP gets near the 100% point the IMF,OECD, economists of all colours and abilities start using statements like " must live within your means" "austerity" "fiscal responsibility"

The government did not give the people a referendum on whether we wanted to cut spending on child care, sure start, the police, NHS etc to save the banks and finance industry.

BUT they did give the people a referendum on whether they wanted to kick the the austerity government in the nuts. The people took it!

Using words like xenophobia is an easy hook to hang the referendum result on.

When you can say xenophobia you don't need to discuss things like 'elephant graph'.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37542494
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Lord Beria3
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Post by Lord Beria3 »

Latest polling findings make interesting reading.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/20 ... -lifeline/
From yesterday's @BBCWestminHour with @EllieJPrice, six out of ten agreed that they no longer care how or when we leave - they just want it over and done with. That rises to three quarters of leavers.
The majority of the population, 6 out of 10, will be happy with May's semi-soft Brexit deal.

Which is the most likely outcome, with the German investment bank Berenberg Bank now pushing it to a 60% probability. Other City banks are saying a similar thing, a deal is more likely then not.

Ignore the noise from the MSM.
Peace always has been and always will be an intermittent flash of light in a dark history of warfare, violence, and destruction
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UndercoverElephant
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Post by UndercoverElephant »

The majority of the population, 6 out of 10, will be happy with May's semi-soft Brexit deal.
Wooo ha ha ha.


----

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WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOhHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHAHAHHHHAAAAHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

Fuckmesidewayswitharoughsidedcucumber
stumuz1
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Post by stumuz1 »

Lord Beria3 wrote: Ignore the noise from the MSM.
Fine ignore the MSM.

7 days ago i was a delegate at the Hilton Hotel, Liverpool. The event was paid for by HSE's chemicals regulation directorate (Whitehall civil service).

Subject? Leaving the EU with no deal.

The main point i took away from the sessions was the statement that the HSE chemicals dept has been planning for a no deal since one hour after the referendum vote.

The reasoning was simple. If we get a deal it will be by agreement. Therefore every detail will have been agreed. No surprises.

If there is no deal. Then we have to replicate the EU agencies into UK law.

This is what the government is telling the chemical industry to prepare for. No deal.

So LB, you carry on telling your readers to prepare for flaccid brexit. I'm telling my clients to prepare for no deal.
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UndercoverElephant
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Post by UndercoverElephant »

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... ement.html
Brussels 'prepares a Brexit climbdown and is set to agree the UK can stay in the EU single market for goods without having to accept free movement'

Theresa May has been holding talks with EU leaders to get support for Chequers

EU is said to be considering the move - but will demand its own concessions

Wants the UK to to stick to environmental and social rules even after Brexit

This would undermine the UK's ability to strike free trade deals around the world
Same story in Express: https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics ... pean-union
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Lord Beria3
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Post by Lord Beria3 »

Of course government have been preparing for no deal! It would be folly not too.

The DM report, if accurate, confirms my own prediction, that EU will agree to a semi-soft Brexit along the lines of May's plans.

It's a game-changing moment.
Peace always has been and always will be an intermittent flash of light in a dark history of warfare, violence, and destruction
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Potemkin Villager
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Post by Potemkin Villager »

" Wants the UK to to stick to environmental and social rules even after Brexit

This would undermine the UK's ability to strike free trade deals around the world "


:roll: Really would it? The sheer quality of Mail hacks writing.
Overconfidence, not just expert overconfidence but general overconfidence,
is one of the most common illusions we experience. Stan Robinson
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