peer to peer lending / borrowing

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DominicJ
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Post by DominicJ »

True, but a bit complex for the likes of Steve
ZOPA is actually a bond exchange, but if we gloss over that, it could be viewed as a zero reserve bank, in that they hold no reserves with which to repay deposits (because of course, they do not accept deposits).
You can sell your entire loan book
Dont this lot want that banned? :roll:
I'm a realist, not a hippie
Little John

Post by Little John »

UndercoverElephant wrote:
DominicJ wrote:
stevecook172001 wrote:On just hearing about this, I must confess to feeling a bit twitchy about it if it is a system of lending at interest. Once again, it just seems like yet another scheme whereby people are encouraged to extract rent from one another since this is the only game left in town now that we don't appear to be able to make anything and sell it to the world any more. Instead, all that is left is for us to feed off one another. We're all bankers now.

On the other hand, I guess it is better than the banks since the fractional reserve is presumably 100%.
Actually the reserve on ZOPA and such is 0%, not 100%
You give ZOPA £100, they give £100 to a borrower and you cant have your money back till the borrower pays it back.
ZOPA is not a bank, and therefore there is no "fractional reserve" figure at all. It is simply a system that matches people who have money to save with people who want to borrow money....
That's actually what I meant by a 100% fractional reserve. I just got my terms mangled. That is to say, the debt side of a given lender cannot become the credit side of that lender by virtue of the same money being deposited with them and so there cannot be any money multiplication effect. The only money in circulation in such a system is that which was originally deposited (plus accumulated interest).

Nevertheless, it should be noted that this money is still lent at interest in such systems. In the mainstream banking system, the paradox of where the new money to cover the interest payments comes from is dealt with by the ponzi-scheme of new debt based money being lent into existence by, amongst other things, the multiplier effect (within defined limitations based on the fractional reserve). In a scheme like those outlined here, though, that cannot happen. So, where does the money to cover the interest payments come from in such schemes? The answer is, of course, the mainstream banking system outside of such a scheme. In short, then, these schemes, relying on interest bearing loans as they do, are feeding off the mainstream banking system in order to fund their existence and so are just as dependant on debt based money as the mainstream banking system is. They are just one step removed from the dirty end of the business, that’s all, and so their hands merely appear to be cleaner.

Lending money at interest either makes the lenders end up with everything or it means we have to keep inventing new money to fill the hole left behind and the lenders still end up with everything. It just takes a bit longer that's all. Some of the oldest of our civilisations worked this out thousands of years ago. These "new" interest bearing money lending schemes change nothing at the systemic level.
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UndercoverElephant
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Post by UndercoverElephant »

stevecook172001 wrote:
UndercoverElephant wrote:
DominicJ wrote: Actually the reserve on ZOPA and such is 0%, not 100%
You give ZOPA £100, they give £100 to a borrower and you cant have your money back till the borrower pays it back.
ZOPA is not a bank, and therefore there is no "fractional reserve" figure at all. It is simply a system that matches people who have money to save with people who want to borrow money....
That's actually what I meant by a 100% fractional reserve. I just got my terms mangled. That is to say, the debt side of a given lender cannot become the credit side of that lender by virtue of the same money being deposited with them and so there cannot be any money multiplication effect. The only money in circulation in such a system is that which was originally deposited (plus accumulated interest).

Nevertheless, it should be noted that this money is still lent at interest in such systems. In the mainstream banking system, the paradox of where the new money to cover the interest payments comes from is dealt with by the ponzi-scheme of new debt based money being lent into existence by, amongst other things, the multiplier effect (within defined limitations based on the fractional reserve). In a scheme like those outlined here, though, that cannot happen. So, where does the money to cover the interest payments come from in such schemes? The answer is, of course, the mainstream banking system outside of such a scheme. In short, then, these schemes, relying on interest bearing loans as they do, are feeding off the mainstream banking system in order to fund their existence and so are just as dependant on debt based money as the mainstream banking system is. They are just one step removed from the dirty end of the business, that’s all, and so their hands merely appear to be cleaner.
No, that's not quite true. Let's imagine that instead of debt-based money, the entire money supply was created by the government. Under such a system, ZOPA could still exist without having to change a single thing about its business model. So it is only the case that "the money comes from the mainstream banking system" because under the existing system that is where 97% of the money actually comes from. That's nothing to do with ZOPA.
Lending money at interest either makes the lenders end up with everything or it means we have to keep inventing new money to fill the hole left behind and the lenders still end up with everything. It just takes a bit longer that's all.
That's not actually true either. I have a few thousand pounds in ZOPA, but the interest that comes to me via that mechanism does not just sit around accumulating in my account. I use it to supplement my low income. I spend it.

I don't agree with you that the system of lending money at interest is at the heart of the inequalities inherent in our current system. Or at least, there are ways to counter-act that apart from making lending with interest illegal. Historically this has been done via taxes - especially taxes on income and property.

I do understand why people might be against the whole of idea of lending money with interest payments, but I don't think this is in the same league as having private banks with the power to create new money and lend it at interest. I don't think we should confuse these two things.
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DominicJ
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Post by DominicJ »

I still dont get why you view borrowing a seed, growing ten seeds and paying two seeds back as good, but replacing seed with pound is evil....

But you stll dont get the FR system.
Theres absolutely nothing stopping me depositing £100 with ZOPA, lending myself £100, depositing that £100 and so on. Banks dont lend the same £100 to multiple people no matter how many times you say otherwise.
I'm a realist, not a hippie
Little John

Post by Little John »

UndercoverElephant wrote:
stevecook172001 wrote:That's actually what I meant by a 100% fractional reserve. I just got my terms mangled. That is to say, the debt side of a given lender cannot become the credit side of that lender by virtue of the same money being deposited with them and so there cannot be any money multiplication effect. The only money in circulation in such a system is that which was originally deposited (plus accumulated interest).

Nevertheless, it should be noted that this money is still lent at interest in such systems. In the mainstream banking system, the paradox of where the new money to cover the interest payments comes from is dealt with by the ponzi-scheme of new debt based money being lent into existence by, amongst other things, the multiplier effect (within defined limitations based on the fractional reserve). In a scheme like those outlined here, though, that cannot happen. So, where does the money to cover the interest payments come from in such schemes? The answer is, of course, the mainstream banking system outside of such a scheme. In short, then, these schemes, relying on interest bearing loans as they do, are feeding off the mainstream banking system in order to fund their existence and so are just as dependant on debt based money as the mainstream banking system is. They are just one step removed from the dirty end of the business, that’s all, and so their hands merely appear to be cleaner.
No, that's not quite true. Let's imagine that instead of debt-based money, the entire money supply was created by the government. Under such a system, ZOPA could still exist without having to change a single thing about its business model. So it is only the case that "the money comes from the mainstream banking system" because under the existing system that is where 97% of the money actually comes from. That's nothing to do with ZOPA.
Lending money at interest either makes the lenders end up with everything or it means we have to keep inventing new money to fill the hole left behind and the lenders still end up with everything. It just takes a bit longer that's all.
That's not actually true either. I have a few thousand pounds in ZOPA, but the interest that comes to me via that mechanism does not just sit around accumulating in my account. I use it to supplement my low income. I spend it.

I don't agree with you that the system of lending money at interest is at the heart of the inequalities inherent in our current system. Or at least, there are ways to counter-act that apart from making lending with interest illegal. Historically this has been done via taxes - especially taxes on income and property.

I do understand why people might be against the whole of idea of lending money with interest payments, but I don't think this is in the same league as having private banks with the power to create new money and lend it at interest. I don't think we should confuse these two things.
All of the above lack of a problem you cite with with such a system is predicated on you and people like you supplementing relatively low incomes by using the interest gained on loans as spending money on consumables. That’s because you're lending relatively small amounts and are making modest profits. Modest enough so as to not accumulate excess capital. In other words, you are not accumulating excess exchange value in the form of money or other assets. However, as soon as any player starts lending large sums out, then the capital accrued in interest payments is used to lend yet more out and so everyone ends up borrowing off them because they can offer better rates because of economies of scale in terms of their profit margins. Additionally, they can use this accumulated capital to buy up everything of value in the real world. The only way that such a scheme would not end up that way is if it is sufficiently unpopular that the big players are not motivated to get involved. In which case, it changes nothing. Or, it does get popular, in which case the big players do get involved and it suffers exactly the same problems as the mainstream banking system. In which case it changes nothing.

One way round the above problem, I suppose, it to limit the amount that any one player may lend and so limit the amount of interest that any one player may accrue, in which case, the big players are effectively barred from entry to the system since there is no significant profit to be had. Any one who wishes to borrow a sum larger than the lending limit of any one individual lender would need to borrow it of a composite-lender consisting of several individual lenders (but this inevitably introduces middle men, of course). I am assuming some of the above is already in existence in such schemes. However, I would particularly like to know what lending limits, if any, exist.
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Post by UndercoverElephant »

double post
Last edited by UndercoverElephant on 10 Jul 2014, 23:10, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by UndercoverElephant »

stevecook172001 wrote:
UndercoverElephant wrote:
stevecook172001 wrote:That's actually what I meant by a 100% fractional reserve. I just got my terms mangled. That is to say, the debt side of a given lender cannot become the credit side of that lender by virtue of the same money being deposited with them and so there cannot be any money multiplication effect. The only money in circulation in such a system is that which was originally deposited (plus accumulated interest).

Nevertheless, it should be noted that this money is still lent at interest in such systems. In the mainstream banking system, the paradox of where the new money to cover the interest payments comes from is dealt with by the ponzi-scheme of new debt based money being lent into existence by, amongst other things, the multiplier effect (within defined limitations based on the fractional reserve). In a scheme like those outlined here, though, that cannot happen. So, where does the money to cover the interest payments come from in such schemes? The answer is, of course, the mainstream banking system outside of such a scheme. In short, then, these schemes, relying on interest bearing loans as they do, are feeding off the mainstream banking system in order to fund their existence and so are just as dependant on debt based money as the mainstream banking system is. They are just one step removed from the dirty end of the business, that’s all, and so their hands merely appear to be cleaner.
No, that's not quite true. Let's imagine that instead of debt-based money, the entire money supply was created by the government. Under such a system, ZOPA could still exist without having to change a single thing about its business model. So it is only the case that "the money comes from the mainstream banking system" because under the existing system that is where 97% of the money actually comes from. That's nothing to do with ZOPA.
Lending money at interest either makes the lenders end up with everything or it means we have to keep inventing new money to fill the hole left behind and the lenders still end up with everything. It just takes a bit longer that's all.
That's not actually true either. I have a few thousand pounds in ZOPA, but the interest that comes to me via that mechanism does not just sit around accumulating in my account. I use it to supplement my low income. I spend it.

I don't agree with you that the system of lending money at interest is at the heart of the inequalities inherent in our current system. Or at least, there are ways to counter-act that apart from making lending with interest illegal. Historically this has been done via taxes - especially taxes on income and property.

I do understand why people might be against the whole of idea of lending money with interest payments, but I don't think this is in the same league as having private banks with the power to create new money and lend it at interest. I don't think we should confuse these two things.
All of the above lack of a problem you cite with with such a system is predicated on you and people like you supplementing relatively low incomes by using the interest gained on loans as spending money on consumables. That’s because you're lending relatively small amounts and are making modest profits. Modest enough so as to not accumulate excess capital. However, as soon as any player starts lending large sums out, then the capital accrued in interest payments is used to lend yet more out and so everyone ends up borrowing off them because they can offer better rates because of economies of scale in terms of their profit margins. Additionally, they can use this accumulated capital to buy up everything of value in the real world. The only way that such a scheme would not end up that way is if it is sufficiently unpopular that the big players are not motivated to get involved. In which case, it changes nothing. Or, it does get popular, in which case, the big players get involved and it suffers exactly the same problems as the mainstream banking system, In which case it changes nothing.
Your basic point here is that there's no major problem with "normal" people lending money and being paid interest, but that it becomes obscene and unbalanced when the very rich do it, because they earn far more in interest than they can possibly spend. So the very rich just end up getting even richer, even without the need to invest in anything. And obviously it is true that the very rich are getting ever richer, and it is indeed obscene.

I think my point still stands. It's not the lending with interest that is the deeper problem here, but the very fact that a small number of people are super-rich. And I think that even if you abolished lending with interest, this problem would still exist. The super-rich would just find other ways to turn their capital into income, and in fact many of them have done just this either by investing in property - especially residential property as we've discussed many times in the past and are agreed about - or by investing in a stock market that is currently being rigged by the central banks so it keeps going upwards regardless of the fact that the economy is still buggered from the events of 2008. Does banning the lending of money at interest stop a private landlord from owning 1000 properties? Obviously not.

IMO there is only one way to stop these sorts of imbalances, and that is a tax system whereby both income and property are taxed at super-rates for the super-rich. i.e. any income over £X million is taxed at 99%, and stamp duty on your tenth property is 500%. Etc...

Anything other than a direct approach like this will just result in the super-rich employing very clever people to find ways to keep them rich by playing the system one way or another.

And anyway, what are you suggesting as an alternative?

People need to borrow money, and if there are no interest payments then what incentive is there for anybody to lend to them?

Are you suggesting some sort of panel of experts to decide who should be loaned money, and how much and on what terms?

Or that all money-lending should be banned?
Little John

Post by Little John »

Yep, you're right UE. I can't argue with any of that except the last bit. It is not good enough to simply say there is no alternative to the staus quo. But, then I don't think you think that. But, as you say, rather than trying to outwit the super rich, just tax the bastards back to planet earth.
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UndercoverElephant
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Post by UndercoverElephant »

DominicJ wrote:
But you stll dont get the FR system.
Theres absolutely nothing stopping me depositing £100 with ZOPA, lending myself £100, depositing that £100 and so on. Banks dont lend the same £100 to multiple people no matter how many times you say otherwise.
Banks create money out of thin air at the point of lending.

Even the Bank of England itself has now confirmed this to be true, with the explicit purpose of preventing anybody from denying it.

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publicat ... 14q102.pdf

• This article explains how the majority of money in the modern economy is created by commercial
banks making loans.

• Money creation in practice differs from some popular misconceptions — banks do not act simply
as intermediaries, lending out deposits that savers place with them, and nor do they ‘multiply up’
central bank money to create new loans and deposits
In the modern economy, most money takes the form of bank
deposits. But how those bank deposits are created is often
misunderstood: the principal way is through commercial
banks making loans.

Whenever a bank makes a loan, it
simultaneously creates a matching deposit in the
borrower’s bank account, thereby creating new money.

The reality of how money is created today differs from the
description found in some economics textbooks:

• Rather than banks receiving deposits when households
save and then lending them out, bank lending creates
deposits
It really could not be clearer. You are one of about ten people I've encountered on the internet who have gone to great lengths to defend a load of total bullshit about how banks don't create money. You were wrong. Not just a little bit wrong, but completely and utterly wrong. Steve understands where money comes from. It is you who doesn't.

No, banks don't "lend the same £100 to multiple people". It's much worse than that: they don't even need any £100 in the first place. They have the power to invent as much money as they like and lend it to people, who then have to repay it with interest. The bank then destroys the repaid principal sum, and keeps the interest. The only limit on this parasitical scam is that they are supposed to make sure that they don't lend so irresponsibly that when some loans go bad, they can't cover the losses with the profits on the other loans. But they are so unbelievably greedy and irresponsible that they couldn't even manage that.

We do NOT have a fractional reserve system any more and the old "money multiplier" is NOT the way money is created. I know you have trouble accepting this, but I'm afraid it is the truth. If you don't believe me then read the article. Or do you think the Bank of England doesn't understand this topic either?
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Post by RenewableCandy »

UndercoverElephant wrote: Are you suggesting some sort of panel of experts to decide who should be loaned money, and how much and on what terms?
In a way, that's how it used to happen in, say, the 1970s. Getting a mortgage (for example) involved the lender making a thorough assessment of the borrowers: their finances, their situation, even their character as people.
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Little John

Post by Little John »

UndercoverElephant wrote:
Banks create money out of thin air at the point of lending....


It really could not be clearer. ...

....banks don't "lend the same £100 to multiple people". It's much worse than that: they don't even need any £100 in the first place....
Yes, indeed. The pretence, even, of probity that came with the theoretical limit on how many time banks could fraudulently re-lend out the same money due to an imposed fractional reserve is now gone. There is no limit, save for the point at which large scale default imposes one. Even then, the state (or, more properly put; me, my children, my grand-children and my grand-children’s children), it would appear, comes to the rescue.
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DominicJ
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Post by DominicJ »

A little bit of knowledge is dangerous thing. The BoE accepts 4 types of money, M1-4.

That article doesnt say what you think it says, to be fair its clunky as hell, but the point stands.
When a bank makes a loan, for example
to someone taking out a mortgage to buy a house, it does not
typically do so by giving them thousands of pounds worth of
banknotes. Instead, it credits their bank account with a bank
deposit of the size of the mortgage.
At that moment, new
money is created.
What the article misses, is that it creates a debit entry as well.

Figure 2 is a text book example of the multiplier effect!

Steve
Why would a large scale default hurt a bank that can create money at no cost?
If you create £500m and lend it to a business that doesnt pay it back, why not just create another £500m? Why not create gagillion and top up the bonus pot?


But this is probably a pointless arguement
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RevdTess
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Post by RevdTess »

UndercoverElephant wrote:They have the power to invent as much money as they like and lend it to people, who then have to repay it with interest. The bank then destroys the repaid principal sum, and keeps the interest.
Isn't it slightly more complex than that? My understanding is that commercial banks 'buy' money from the central bank at the base rate and then 'sell' the money to individuals and companies at a higher lending rate.

So technically I believe it's the central bank that's 'inventing' money and the commercial banks are just buying and selling that money.

That doesn't change your general point in any way but I hoped it might clarify the discussion further.

Personally I don't know how commercial banks determine their lending limits these days. Normally even when they lose money they can survive by borrowing (ie 'buying') money to cover their losses. It's only when the losses are so large that no one will sell them any more cash that the collapse happens. How credit agencies and/or governments judge that point I've no idea right now.
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UndercoverElephant
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Post by UndercoverElephant »

DominicJ wrote:A little bit of knowledge is dangerous thing. The BoE accepts 4 types of money, M1-4.

That article doesnt say what you think it says, to be fair its clunky as hell, but the point stands.
When a bank makes a loan, for example
to someone taking out a mortgage to buy a house, it does not
typically do so by giving them thousands of pounds worth of
banknotes. Instead, it credits their bank account with a bank
deposit of the size of the mortgage.
At that moment, new
money is created.
What the article misses, is that it creates a debit entry as well.
No, Dominic, it does not. The article doesn't "miss" anything at all. It's a report released by the Bank of England for the specific purpose of clearing up exactly the sort of confusion that YOU are suffering from, and it doesn't mention any debit entry because there isn't one.
But this is probably a pointless arguement
It's pointless if you continue to point blank deny the reality of how money is created, even after you've been presented with a clear statement from the Bank of England explaining the process. You're actually claiming that the BoE has got this wrong! It beggars belief.

I might add that of all the people I internet-know who, prior to the publication of that report, had maintained that banks don't create money, you are currently the only one who has continued to deny the truth even after being presented with a clear statement by the BoE of exactly what happens. All of the others either admitted they had been wrong, or went very quiet on this topic and have remained so.
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UndercoverElephant
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Post by UndercoverElephant »

Tess wrote:
UndercoverElephant wrote:They have the power to invent as much money as they like and lend it to people, who then have to repay it with interest. The bank then destroys the repaid principal sum, and keeps the interest.
Isn't it slightly more complex than that? My understanding is that commercial banks 'buy' money from the central bank at the base rate and then 'sell' the money to individuals and companies at a higher lending rate.
No. That's what a lot of people believe, it's what the commercial banks are happy for you to believe, but it is not true. Commercial banks sometimes have to "buy" money from the central bank in order to solve short-term cashflow problems, but not in order to make loans.
So technically I believe it's the central bank that's 'inventing' money and the commercial banks are just buying and selling that money.
Nope. This is absolutely not what happens.

http://www.positivemoney.org/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jqvKjsIxT_8
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