Whatever Happened To Aurora?

Forum for general discussion of Peak Oil / Oil depletion; also covering related subjects

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biffvernon
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Post by biffvernon »

emordnilap wrote:
A bike at the age of 12. :lol: I had to buy my own when I got my first job. You were lucky...etc etc etc.
Oh look here, it wasn't a new bike. It was handed down from my big brother and it was well second hand when he got it.
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emordnilap
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Post by emordnilap »

Told you you were lucky.
I experience pleasure and pains, and pursue goals in service of them, so I cannot reasonably deny the right of other sentient agents to do the same - Steven Pinker
RevdTess
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Post by RevdTess »

Yes, my parents gave away my first good bike without telling me while I was off at university. Can't imagine why they thought that wouldn't upset me.
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Lord Beria3
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Post by Lord Beria3 »

Back on topic...

I suspect that like most of us here on the forum, we have pretty much run out of things to discuss and unless PO returns to the headlines in the coming years it will remain a quiet forum.

Of course, we all know that the risks of blackouts, energy shortages and the potential for the more blatant resources wars in response to these pressures will probably come in the future but for the moment they are not headline news.

In time, I am sure, they will be... I suspect by the end of this decade/beginning of next decade at the latest.
Peace always has been and always will be an intermittent flash of light in a dark history of warfare, violence, and destruction
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odaeio
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Post by odaeio »

Lord Beria3 wrote:Back on topic...

I suspect that like most of us here on the forum, we have pretty much run out of things to discuss and unless PO returns to the headlines in the coming years it will remain a quiet forum.

Of course, we all know that the risks of blackouts, energy shortages and the potential for the more blatant resources wars in response to these pressures will probably come in the future but for the moment they are not headline news.

In time, I am sure, they will be... I suspect by the end of this decade/beginning of next decade at the latest.
I am not so sure that there is little left to discuss. I bounce around between here and the tin foil hat crowd and feel that I have a much better picture for it. What the "Conspiracy Theorists" are missing is that we are post peak oil. From missing planes, to weekly "shooters", to chemtrails, FEMA camps, "gun control" and unheard of displays of the most elite army forces in city centre's. They realise "something" is going on, but don't know why - they don't understand that the elites are well aware of what is to come on the downslope, and are already preparing for the chaos which will inevitably ensue, by clamping down ever harder on the sleeping sheeple.

The more the weirdness ratchet's up regarding these seemingly unconnected, yet "not quite right", events - the closer I think we are getting to the "fast crash" scenario. A decade ago WE were the "tin foil hat" crowd with our stupid idea's of P.O., now that it's a done deal, we need to concentrate on what's happening because of it, and try to connect the dot's, just as we were doing regarding the oil patch all those years ago.
The Universe does Balance and Equilibrium - neither excess nor deficit
Perhaps humanity would have been wise to follow it's example
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adam2
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Post by adam2 »

Lord Beria3 wrote:Back on topic...

I suspect that like most of us here on the forum, we have pretty much run out of things to discuss and unless PO returns to the headlines in the coming years it will remain a quiet forum.

Of course, we all know that the risks of blackouts, energy shortages and the potential for the more blatant resources wars in response to these pressures will probably come in the future but for the moment they are not headline news.

In time, I am sure, they will be... I suspect by the end of this decade/beginning of next decade at the latest.
You have a point.
A lot of what needs to be said, has been said.
A lot of what can be said regarding preps has already been said, and little more remains to say apart from specific enquiries such as "what size battery do I need" or "how long does dried pasta keep"

Political changes tend to provoke disscussion, but not much is likely to happen before the next general election.

Any dramatic change in oil prices would likewise be worthy of disscussion, but it has been relatively steady recently.

The severe flooding caused a lot of posts about the causes and consequences, and what preps are sensible. Unlikely to cause much MORE interest though until the next extreme weather event.

Any major escalation of terrorism, civil unrest, military action etc in a developed nation would be cause for concern and forum posts. But the world whilst far from peacefull, is not changing much at present, last week was very similar to the week before.

The financial crisis, whilst perhaps not over, has reached a sort of short term stability that is not very newsworthy.
"Installers and owners of emergency diesels must assume that they will have to run for a week or more"
vtsnowedin
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Post by vtsnowedin »

adam2 wrote:
Any dramatic change in oil prices would likewise be worthy of disscussion, but it has been relatively steady recently.

.
That you find going from $91.45 in mid January to $102.67 today" relatively steady"seems a bit off.
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PS_RalphW
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Post by PS_RalphW »

Wti price is of minor concern. It has been anomalously low for a few years because of local pipeline issues and this has enabled a few refineries make excess profits. Only a small amount of oil globally speaking is affected by that price. Brent has been remarkably stable for the last two years, considering the usual upheavals in supply, for example Libya is now completely offline, and it isn't even mentioned in the msm.
vtsnowedin
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Post by vtsnowedin »

PS_RalphW wrote:Wti price is of minor concern. It has been anomalously low for a few years because of local pipeline issues and this has enabled a few refineries make excess profits. Only a small amount of oil globally speaking is affected by that price. Brent has been remarkably stable for the last two years, considering the usual upheavals in supply, for example Libya is now completely offline, and it isn't even mentioned in the msm.
As wti is the North American price benchmark and North America consumes twenty three of the eighty-seven million barrels of oil produced each day you can hardly call it minor. But back to my point using brent. Brent has gone from a low of $97 a year ago up past $110 and is now $108.61 I don't call that stable at all. It's an economy crusher.
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biffvernon
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Post by biffvernon »

Don't cherry pick dates. We saw a massive rise in oil prices in the run-up to the financial crash of summer 2008 to $147. Then the price dropped dramatically but soon recovered and has been within around 10% of $100 for the last few years.
vtsnowedin
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Post by vtsnowedin »

biffvernon wrote:Don't cherry pick dates. We saw a massive rise in oil prices in the run-up to the financial crash of summer 2008 to $147. Then the price dropped dramatically but soon recovered and has been within around 10% of $100 for the last few years.
Ten percent in less then a year is a lot when economies are working at zero percent interest and one to two percent inflation.
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Potemkin Villager
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Post by Potemkin Villager »

Lord Beria3 wrote:Back on topic...

I suspect that like most of us here on the forum, we have pretty much run out of things to discuss and unless PO returns to the headlines in the coming years it will remain a quiet forum.
Once again I am amazed to find myself in complete agreement with
LB3! :) I some ways it is better that a forum is a bit quieter and more thought goes in between responses. I continue to be awed by the sheer volume of stuff some folk post. Where do ye get the time if you are so busy prepping etc? :roll: [/b]
Overconfidence, not just expert overconfidence but general overconfidence,
is one of the most common illusions we experience. Stan Robinson
madibe
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Post by madibe »

Just to let y'all know… I am still here - I pop in now and again for a read.

But agree that times are quiet; what needs to be said has largely been said. Although, lets face it - we all need a rant occasionally and time for ranting is sure to come around soonish ;)

Take care y'all and thanks for continuing to be here for us that are aware - you know, it is great to have a place to come to where the community is clued up.
vtsnowedin
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Post by vtsnowedin »

maudibe wrote:Just to let y'all know… I am still here - I pop in now and again for a read.
Glad to hear that. 8)
ujoni08
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Staying in touch

Post by ujoni08 »

I echo what's been said above. I still pop in regularly to read posts.
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