Ludwig wrote:One thing's for sure: it wouldn't solve the problem of how to feed 7 billion people without cheap oil.
It's not a problem, it's a predicament -- it has no solution within the mainstream/conventional collective view that society has of itself.
Ludwig wrote:More importantly, though, I don't know of a single example from history of disaster being averted through the wisdom of the masses.
You're thinking as an individual, not as a system.
This is the great flaw about modern pressure group lobbying/campaigning for social change. It's asking for "permission" --
outsourcing the "problem" for someone else to define and permit a solution for your to carry out -- which prevents more radical change. In contrast, if you act to do something yourself to redefine those collectively held norms, and those ideas are shared by others, then things will change for society as a whole.
Change is dynamic -- it can't be planned or delivered, only anticipated. In December 1955 the cultural world was split between classical, dance hall and jazz music. In January 1956 there was
'Heartbreak Hotel'. Then there was rockabilly and Bill Haley. Human society is driven by fashion, not so much in the cultural sense, but as a means of group cohesion.
Question: In 1955 did thousands of riotous teenagers sign a petition and lobby their MPs for rock and roll?; or did they protest in the streets, demanding that the Government give them some amplified driving Afro-beat in a 4/4 time?
No. When offered Lonnie Donegan did they go "frack yeah!" and started to rock?
Yes. And hence a new cultural wave straddled the globe, even violating the inner confines of the most repressive global regimes in Eastern Europe
If a few "average" people do something, or if something is being done by a movement outside the mainstream debate, then at the collective level it is ignored. Trends develop, they mature, and they die, most never registering on the social/cultural Richter scale. Every now and again, driven by new circumstances such as surplus food, new resources or new technologies, such minor trends can take on a relevance to a far greater group, and can propagate throughout society to a point where their support expands to encompass what is collectively defined as, the "mainstream" --
they become the new "normal".
However, what goes up must come down, at least in entropic terms. Therefore if we can pro-actively change our own lives, try and iron out individually the problems that reducing personal energy and resource consumption creates, then we can refine our ideas to get alternative/low consumption lifestyles "right". The moment we get it "right", taken against the background of the changes wrought by the "Limits to Growth", it will automatically appeal for a far greater number of people who "get it". Then, if you can maintain that initiative, you can change the world...
...but you have to consciously aim to do that, and initiate that process, otherwise it's not going to happen.
The people trying the practical alternatives, and being systematically persecuted because they don't "fit in" (e.g., most recently the
Lammas eco-village getting hassle over building regulations), face a choice between complying with the "consensual delusion" of modernity, or applying their own perceptions of what's happening around them when making lifestyle choices. If you dig in, and struggle for what it is you believe you are meant to be doing (which is, perhaps not coincidentally, the best working definition for the term
'karma'), then you have a chance of succeeding. Just consider the odds -- if you don't try there's a 100% chance of failure, if you do struggle on then there a chance, albeit insignificantly small, that you might achieve some progress towards those ambitions...
eventually.
But it has to be your change -- you have to make it happen. And, to return to the beginning, if you try and preconceive that solution in its entirety then you're not necessarily going to get that result (perhaps this is a natural limiting mechanism within social consciousness); adaptation, especially against a background of economic contraction, needs to be far more fluid to succeed. In contrast, if you have a more broad consensus, all heading in the same direction though not necessarily
"on the same bus", then you've a greater chance of achieving a "critical mass" to affect a far broader segment of society.