This looks like it is turning into a fight between the credit rating agencies and the politicians.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/ar ... 23b3cb.ab1
Banks wrestle with no-default help for Greece
PARIS — Leading banks were meeting in Paris on Wednesday on how to support a new rescue for Greece, their spokesman told AFP shortly after a rating agency issued a new warning and another downgraded Portugal.
The critical issue, which has delayed until September any eurozone decision on a new rescue for Greece, is how banks could shoulder part of the cost of help without triggering dangerous default repercussions across financial markets.
The ratings agencies own survival now depends on them downgrading when it would be ludicrous not to: if everybody knows it is a spade, then they have no choice but to call it a spade or cease to have any reason for existing. But the people who want to preserve the integrity of the Euro/EU (and the same problems will occur in the US with individual states going bust) need to be able bail out (properly bail out, not just loan) Greece
without it being called a default. They are happy to accept that they aren't going to get all of their money back, but there's no point in them doing it at all if the rating agency is going to call the spade/default a spade/default, because this will cause contagion and lead to even greater losses.
This is no longer a political problem. It's a
logical problem. They have run out of logically-possible non-catastrophic escape routes.
"We fail to mandate economic sanity because our brains are addled by....compassion." (Garrett Hardin)