Article on fuel prices and house prices in rural america

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charlie
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Joined: 16 Jan 2006, 13:47
Location: Brixton, London

Article on fuel prices and house prices in rural america

Post by charlie »

http://www.itulip.com/reportfromthefront.htm

Maybe slightly off topic but an interesting read. Sounds like the area in question has had a very severe downturn on account of rising fuel prices. I keep wondering when the property bubble in this country is going to burst too, my feelings are that it already has in a lot of places, just a few vested interests (estate agents, lenders, people looking to sell) talking it up effectively in the media.

Then Katrina hit in 2005. Gasoline prices skyrocketed. Most of the people in the area commute to the city for work. The cost of gasoline made that commute much more expensive. When I moved here gasoline cost about $1.20 a gallon. Recently I filled up at $2.69. When I moved here, $400 a month was my budget for gasoline. The same amount of fuel would cost me close to $900 a month. Just to commute. Because of the added commuting cost, people are not buying property out this far anymore. Real estate sales slowed to near nothing.
People here were totally blindsided by how quickly property values declined. Even those of us who were aware of a housing bubble thought the decline would be slow. That's probably still true in other regions, at least for now. The larger cities and suburbs have regional real estate economies that aren?t feeling the demand pressure rural areas get from the cost of commuting. But for areas like mine where the sudden increase in the cost of commuting pushed people over the edge, once that price decline cascade gets started there is no stopping it.
charlie
Posts: 8
Joined: 16 Jan 2006, 13:47
Location: Brixton, London

Post by charlie »

ooops, just spotted it was linked to from the main powerswitch site already.
sorry, I should have looked there before posting to the forum!
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skeptik
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Joined: 24 Nov 2005, 11:09
Location: Costa Geriatrica, Spain

Re:Article on fuel prices and house prices in rural america

Post by skeptik »

Interesting. Not off topic at all.

This is precisely the effect James Kunster, novelist and social commentator, has been prediciting for some time in his decidely gloomy prognostications about the future of American suburbia - the curling up of the outer edges of the commuter belt being the likely first visible effect of the approach of Peak Oil.

The eventual result of this process I think will be the rehabilitation of many currently decayed / abandonned inner city areas. The more the price of gasoline goes up, the more people will want to be within a few miles of where they work, rather than a 10 - 60 mile commute out in the suburban belt
MacG
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Post by MacG »

There is a super-simple method to cut the cost of commuting to half: Ride sharing. Put two persons in the car and share the cost. Could be advanced to cutting the cost to 1/4 by putting four persons in the car. From $900 to $225 in a snap. Should be irresistible. www.ecolane.com provide the infrastructure to do this ad-hoc using mobile phones.
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