Peak Oil software: Sokath

Forum for general discussion of Peak Oil / Oil depletion; also covering related subjects

Moderator: Peak Moderation

Comp_Lex
Posts: 44
Joined: 29 Jul 2009, 14:19

Post by Comp_Lex »

Hello,

I've uploaded a new version of my free Peak Oil software to my website.

Changes:

* Added new Hubbert Curves for Congo, Lybia and Argentina

You can download it here: http://sokath.sourceforge.net/
Comp_Lex
Posts: 44
Joined: 29 Jul 2009, 14:19

Post by Comp_Lex »

Hello,

I've uploaded a new version of my free Peak Oil software to my website.

Changes:

* The formula for the upper gasoline prices estimation with changing non-oil expenditures (i.e. the upper "blue line") has been modified. The percentage of the oil price that accounts for the highest estimated gasoline prices has been raised from 30 % to 45 %. This results in a lower estimation for the prices.
* Added new Hubbert Curves for Australia, Azerbaijan and Cameroon

You can download it here: http://sokath.sourceforge.net/
Comp_Lex
Posts: 44
Joined: 29 Jul 2009, 14:19

Post by Comp_Lex »

Hello,

I've uploaded a new version of my free Peak Oil software to my website.

Changes:

* Added new Hubbert Curves for China, Equatorial-Guinea and Gabon

* Added data for Chad, but the Hubbert Curve cannot be generated with it due to a too low linesegment generation resolution for the Hubbert Curve. The resolution might change if multiple countries are affected by the issue.

You can download it here: http://sokath.sourceforge.net/
Comp_Lex
Posts: 44
Joined: 29 Jul 2009, 14:19

Post by Comp_Lex »

Hello,

I've uploaded a new version of my free Peak Oil software to my website.

Changes:

Added new Hubbert Curves for India, Indonesia and Italy

You can download it here: http://sokath.sourceforge.net/
Comp_Lex
Posts: 44
Joined: 29 Jul 2009, 14:19

Post by Comp_Lex »

Hello,

I've uploaded a new version of my free Peak Oil software to my website.

Changes:

Added new Hubbert Curves for Kazakhstan, Malaysia and Norway

You can download it here: http://sokath.sourceforge.net/
Comp_Lex
Posts: 44
Joined: 29 Jul 2009, 14:19

Post by Comp_Lex »

Hello,

I've uploaded a new version of my free Peak Oil software to my website.

Changes:

* The Region Dialog has been given a makeover

* Added new Hubbert Curves for Peru, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago

You can download it here: http://sokath.sourceforge.net/
Comp_Lex
Posts: 44
Joined: 29 Jul 2009, 14:19

Post by Comp_Lex »

Hi,

I've uploaded a new version of my software to my website.

The biggest changes are:

* Vietnam Hubbert Curve has been added

* Added custom implementation of Jeffrey Brown's Export Land Model, featuring Saudi-Arabia

* Bug Fix: Multi Hubbert Mode works again for the UK

A conclusion: Saudi-Arabia probably won't be able to export oil after ~2030.

You can find it here: http://sokath.sourceforge.net/

I am willing to post a few screenshots of KSA if you want to see results in this thread.
Comp_Lex
Posts: 44
Joined: 29 Jul 2009, 14:19

Post by Comp_Lex »

Anyway, as promised I have a few screenshots for you guys. They represent results of my custom implementation of the Export Land Model (with KSA). The pictures link to larger versions of the images.
Image

Image

Image
ziggy12345
Posts: 1235
Joined: 28 Nov 2008, 10:49

Post by ziggy12345 »

You haven’t factored in demand destruction. As oil gets more and more expensive (in energy terms) to produce the available energy to the market, other than the energy market, is reduced. This reduces economic activity and demand.

A steady state energy supply and use emerges with zero or negative real growth. Financial markets are still based on growth but any growth can only be based on debt. This debt is paid back in inflation and assest devaluation.

If you want to survive in the long term the best position you can be in is to have no assests and as much debt as possible.
Comp_Lex
Posts: 44
Joined: 29 Jul 2009, 14:19

Post by Comp_Lex »

Demand destruction is not yet a feature of my program. That probably needs to be implemented for every country in the world. I will do it once I have a picture of the flow of oil between the countries.
Post Reply