Current Oil Price
Moderator: Peak Moderation
Funny how people react differently to oil price spikes. You can't get enough of them, while they turn me into a gibbering wreck.RalphW wrote:Turn your back and its $81.60.
Why does it always do that whilst I'm cycling home?
"We're just waiting, looking skyward as the days go down / Someone promised there'd be answers if we stayed around."
A question that will, no doubt, show up my woeful ignorance.
Oil is priced in US dollars so as the dollar weakens against most currencies shouldn't we expect the dollar oil price to rise? If it didn't then wouldn't oil effectively be getting cheaper for anyone using appreciating (against the dollar) currencies?
Gold is also priced in dollars, so the same for gold, i.e. the dollar price should rise.
Or am I getting something badly wrong here?
Oil is priced in US dollars so as the dollar weakens against most currencies shouldn't we expect the dollar oil price to rise? If it didn't then wouldn't oil effectively be getting cheaper for anyone using appreciating (against the dollar) currencies?
Gold is also priced in dollars, so the same for gold, i.e. the dollar price should rise.
Or am I getting something badly wrong here?
No, you're correct. If you plot the dollar index (DXY on bloomberg) versus the oil price, there's almost always a very strong negative correlation.Quintus wrote:A question that will, no doubt, show up my woeful ignorance.
Oil is priced in US dollars so as the dollar weakens against most currencies shouldn't we expect the dollar oil price to rise? If it didn't then wouldn't oil effectively be getting cheaper for anyone using appreciating (against the dollar) currencies?
Gold is also priced in dollars, so the same for gold, i.e. the dollar price should rise.
Or am I getting something badly wrong here?
It's often difficult to judge the causality though. Sometimes oil fundamentals drive dollar strength, more often it's the other way around.
What's interesting is the way that the rise in oil prices is beginning to ruffle feathers in the gas supply industry: http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/5907
Yeah, let's take on Gazprom... I mean, what can the do? Cut us off?
Yeah, let's take on Gazprom... I mean, what can the do? Cut us off?
Thanks Tess!Tess wrote:No, you're correct. If you plot the dollar index (DXY on bloomberg) versus the oil price, there's almost always a very strong negative correlation.
It's often difficult to judge the causality though. Sometimes oil fundamentals drive dollar strength, more often it's the other way around.
Ticker now says $77.12.
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I don't suppose that Gazprom will do much publicly until the weather gets cold and gas demand goes up. Then they can declare the contracts have been broken and demand even higher payments and tougher terms for renegotiated contracts.mobbsey wrote:What's interesting is the way that the rise in oil prices is beginning to ruffle feathers in the gas supply industry: http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/5907
Yeah, let's take on Gazprom... I mean, what can the do? Cut us off?
Action is the antidote to despair - Joan Baez
BBC News - 18/11/09
The price of crude oil has risen to $80 a barrel after figures showed a sharp fall in US stockpiles last week.
The data came from the American Petroleum Institute, which said US oil stocks fell by 4.4 million barrels instead of the expected 1.2 million.
It said the falls came after storms in the Gulf of Mexico disrupted supplies.
US light crude was up 90 cents to $80.04 a barrel in Wednesday trading, while London's Brent had climbed by 94 cents to $79.91.
Oil investors are now waiting for the latest official US stocks data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), which is due out later.
"If the EIA confirms the big drawdown, and I think they probably will, the market could move up sharply," said Eugen Weinberg, head of commodity research at Commerzbank.
Oil prices peaked at a record $147 a barrel in July last year, before falling to about $30 at the start of 2009 because of the impact of the global recession.
Original Article