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Green Party vs. Transition Towns

Posted: 15 Feb 2008, 12:03
by Adam1
Interesting response from Rob Hopkins to an article in the Green Party's inhouse journal criticising Transition Towns.
Rob Hopkins on Transition Culture wrote:
Rupert Read in 'Green World' magazine wrote:?The Transition Towns movement alone cannot save us because, within the existing economic system, some people reducing their use of fossil fuels is received by everyone else as a price signal that it is OK to use even more fossil fuels?.
This seems like an astonishing argument from a member of the Green Party, to suggest that it is counter-productive to reduce fossil fuel consumption in one place because it will just increase it elsewhere. I sometimes hear the same argument from those who suggest that there is no point in our doing anything to lower our carbon emissions because China and India will never do so. So does Read suggest that instead we just madly consume whatever fossil fuels we can in order to use them up as quickly as possible? No. His argument is that what we need is ?legislation that enforces lower overall use of fossil fuels and/or that forces everyone to try and become a Transition Town?. In other words, all stick and no carrot.

It is absurd to suggest that reducing dependence on fossil fuels is counter-productive for many reasons, including the following;

1. It inspires other places. Places such as Findhorn and BedZed with their low carbon footprints show the rest of the world what is possible in an inspiring way. There is no research to the best of my knowledge to indicate that communities living next to those places feel duty bound to increase their fossil fuel consumption due to that left over by their more frugal neighbours
2. This is about more than just cutting consumption. In the Transition approach, the cutting of carbon emissions/fossil fuel consumption is a way of making the settlement in question more resilient, with a stronger local economy which in turn unleashes all kinds of other positive economic feedbacks
3. In the context of the peak oil argument, as the price of liquids fuels starts to rise, it will be the degree of resilience that has been put in place that will be important. Delight at being able to pick up, for example, Totnes?s fossil fuel leftovers, will be short lived and entirely counter-productive.


Original article by Rupert Read in 'Green World': (jpg scan of article - may take awhile to download on slow connections)[/quote]

Rob Hopkins response on the Transition Culture website.

Re: Green Party vs. Transition Towns

Posted: 16 Feb 2008, 00:47
by Cycloloco
Adam1 wrote:Interesting response from Rob Hopkins to an article in the Green Party's inhouse journal criticising Transition Towns.
Rob Hopkins on Transition Culture wrote:
Rupert Read in 'Green World' magazine wrote:?The Transition Towns movement alone cannot save us because, within the existing economic system, some people reducing their use of fossil fuels is received by everyone else as a price signal that it is OK to use even more fossil fuels?.
This seems like an astonishing argument from a member of the Green Party, to suggest that it is counter-productive to reduce fossil fuel consumption in one place because it will just increase it elsewhere. I sometimes hear the same argument from those who suggest that there is no point in our doing anything to lower our carbon emissions because China and India will never do so. So does Read suggest that instead we just madly consume whatever fossil fuels we can in order to use them up as quickly as possible? No. His argument is that what we need is ?legislation that enforces lower overall use of fossil fuels and/or that forces everyone to try and become a Transition Town?. In other words, all stick and no carrot.
....
Original article by Rupert Read in 'Green World': (jpg scan of article - may take awhile to download on slow connections)
Rob Hopkins response on the Transition Culture website.[/quote]

I don't see 'counter-productive' in Read's article and I think you have misrepresented him. All he appears to be saying is that Jevon's paradox applies to oil consumption. (He doesn't use that name either.)

Posted: 16 Feb 2008, 01:03
by SherryMayo
The jevons paradox issue is important if you are talking about reducing emissions but less so if you're talking about increasing resilience of a town to an oil shock.

Jevons paradox also counts on normal market forces operating eg supply and demand. If there is legislation to reduce emissions as a result of Kyoto etc which artificially restricted certain types of supply (or makes them very expensive) then jevons paradox doesn't necessarily apply to the same extent.

Posted: 16 Feb 2008, 07:44
by mikepepler
Maybe they're just upset it wasn't their idea? If someone else manages to get more practical work done on the ground than they do, is their reason for existence in doubt? :lol:

Posted: 16 Feb 2008, 08:37
by clv101
Rupert Read has a point when you consider whether, globally, oil (and other fossil fuels) are supply-side limited or demand-side limited.

Rob's points are excellent but they are second order effects.

Posted: 03 Mar 2008, 14:38
by PaulS
Agreed.

I see Transition as primarily building a lifeboat of local resilience, rather than hoping to influence global oil demand.

In the final analysis, lifeboats by themselves are of little use as they will be overrun by the 'drowning' masses.

So even Transition Towns really need government support in helping such initiatives across the country.

Mind you, Cornwall is beginning to buzz. Transition Cornwall Network, about 8 regional transition groups and loads of little local groups. Here in North Cornwall we are about to embark on an awareness campaign.

Posted: 03 Mar 2008, 14:44
by Andy Hunt
mikepepler wrote:Maybe they're just upset it wasn't their idea? If someone else manages to get more practical work done on the ground than they do, is their reason for existence in doubt? :lol:
Aaah . . . yes indeed, a bad case of sour grapes perhaps?

:lol:

Posted: 03 Mar 2008, 14:57
by RenewableCandy
Andy Hunt wrote:
mikepepler wrote:Maybe they're just upset it wasn't their idea? If someone else manages to get more practical work done on the ground than they do, is their reason for existence in doubt? :lol:
Aaah . . . yes indeed, a bad case of sour grapes perhaps?

:lol:
Bloody daft this spat if you ask me it's obvious you need both, and 1 by itself won't work...The Green Party are starting to campaign to reduce FF supply and the TT people offer a practical demonstration of how we can all be happier with less FF.
Also the TT people say it's vital to have a sympathetic ear in local government...like, erm, a Green Party Councillor, perhaps?

Posted: 03 Mar 2008, 15:00
by emordnilap
Sounds like Irish politics to me...the first item on the agenda is the split!

Posted: 03 Mar 2008, 15:17
by clv101
RenewableCandy wrote:TT people offer a practical demonstration of how we can all be happier with less FF.
Exactly. For me that's the main strength of TT. Show how to live with less FF supply which is necessary due to CC and inevitable due to PO.

Hey, no TLA in that.

Posted: 03 Mar 2008, 16:16
by kenneal - lagger
We've had support from both sides, Tories and LibDems, in Newbury although the support within the Tories is limited. A Green Party councillor isn't absolutely necessary. Perhaps that's what the fuss is about.

Posted: 03 Mar 2008, 16:44
by biffvernon
clv101 wrote: Hey, no TLA in that.
Two letter acronym :?

Posted: 03 Mar 2008, 18:13
by Adam1
kenneal wrote:We've had support from both sides, Tories and LibDems, in Newbury although the support within the Tories is limited. A Green Party councillor isn't absolutely necessary. Perhaps that's what the fuss is about.
That's my feeling too. Even though the Greens have more policies that fit with Transition Towns, I feel more comfortable when there is interest and support across the parties. The last thing we want is lots of hardcore greens trying to do the right thing while the rest of the populace looks on apathetically or ignores them altogether. I hope that doesn't sound too Blairishly big tent.

Re: Green Party vs. Transition Towns

Posted: 03 Mar 2008, 19:28
by RevdTess
Rob Hopkins on Transition Culture wrote:
1. It inspires other places. Places such as Findhorn and BedZed with their low carbon footprints show the rest of the world what is possible in an inspiring way. There is no research to the best of my knowledge to indicate that communities living next to those places feel duty bound to increase their fossil fuel consumption due to that left over by their more frugal neighbours
Anecdotally, my old friends in Hackbridge didn't much give a rats ass what was going on at Bedzed from an eco-perspective. The roads outside the estate were however often blocked during rush-hour.

I totally agree with Rob's points though. TT will not slow global oil demand, but it will provide a model for how to live with less energy when the time comes.

And the green party is right to point out that if the status quo thinks it's 'doing enough' by supporting TT, then it's really not.