David Cameron and Experian

What can we do to change the minds of decision makers and people in general to actually do something about preparing for the forthcoming economic/energy crises (the ones after this one!)?

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Totally_Baffled
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Post by Totally_Baffled »

biffvernon wrote:
Totally_Baffled wrote: Put it this way, if this £5 billion isn't saved, then it will have to come from somewhere else, which may mean genuine claimants getting even less.
I wonder what this saving of £5 billion really means. Presumably the money is not placed under a No 10 mattress.

The £5 billion, were it to be given away to claimants, illegitimate or not, will be spent, circulating in the economy in myriad ways. For sure it will have to come from somewhere, and one can chose at what point in the monetary circulation one wishes to identify it. Perhaps at the point of general taxation, whereby it falls upon the taxed, or perhaps from the point of quantitative easing, whereby it falls upon us all as the currency devalues and inflation takes its course, or perhaps at the point of cancellation of a new Trident submarine, whereby it falls upon the good folk of Barrow-in-Furness who are laid off from their ship-yard work.

Economics is a complex beast.
Fair comments Biff, but in my view the whole point of the benefits system is that it is targeted to those that need it.

£1.5 billion in fraud to those knowing what they are doing, and then another £3.5 billion simply because its too complicated is unacceptable (I know what they mean - I have filled out those tax credit forms - it must cost a fortune to administer too)

To be fair, Ian Duncan Smith has been talking about simplification as well - which would be a move forwards.

I guess could be said about the tax system too, it's so complicated I read from your link (the tax fraud indicator document) that 17.5% of the 'tax gap' is lost due to legal interpretation!

25% via avoidance and the hidden economy (eg paying for stuff in cash).

So nearly half of the £15 billion tax gap is on two items! (why not scrap VAT on labour and increase it on goods? - no way round it then?)

I know its a seperate issue, but what also needs looking at is if the benefits system is too generous? Contentious I know, but for example universal benefits like child benefit is bonkers, and people shouldnt be able to afford luxuries if they are not working? eg fags, booze, plasma screens, SUV's etc. I know the latter is probably hyped by the right wing press, but it needs investigating? Maybe vouchers should be considered that can only be exchanged for essentials rather than fags?

I do take the point though that has to be more focus on evasion by the rich and to stop using this so much as a way to score political points.
TB

Peak oil? ahhh smeg..... :(
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Shillwatch
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Post by Shillwatch »

Totally_Baffled wrote:Contentious I know, but for example universal benefits like child benefit is bonkers, and people shouldnt be able to afford luxuries if they are not working? eg fags, booze, plasma screens, SUV's etc. I know the latter is probably hyped by the right wing press, but it needs investigating? Maybe vouchers should be considered that can only be exchanged for essentials rather than fags?
Aside from the totalitarian aspects of your suggestion, do you really want all the people at that end of society strung out from lack of 'fags & booze'? Doesn't sound like a good idea to me....

You are correct about universal benefits though, child benefit no matter what you earn is ridiculous - and the fact it hasn't been touched is surely proof that this is an exercise in placating middle-england Daily Mail readers, while victimising the already-disposessed of this land.
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Post by kenneal - lagger »

Shillwatch wrote:You are correct about universal benefits though, child benefit no matter what you earn is ridiculous - and the fact it hasn't been touched is surely proof that this is an exercise in placating middle-england Daily Mail readers, while victimising the already-disposessed of this land.
That's rubbish. The reason we have universal benefits is that Labour don't like a means test as it supposedly demeans the poor! The Tories have been talking about bringing an end to universal benefits.
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emordnilap
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Post by emordnilap »

Of course, then the rich will be able to say, "Why should I contribute if I don't share in it?"
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Shillwatch
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Post by Shillwatch »

kenneal wrote:
Shillwatch wrote:You are correct about universal benefits though, child benefit no matter what you earn is ridiculous - and the fact it hasn't been touched is surely proof that this is an exercise in placating middle-england Daily Mail readers, while victimising the already-disposessed of this land.
That's rubbish. The reason we have universal benefits is that Labour don't like a means test as it supposedly demeans the poor! The Tories have been talking about bringing an end to universal benefits.
But they were there long before Labour got into power. I don't think Maggie would have had a problem getting rid of them because of a few Labour objections, especially considering everything else she did to the country....
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Post by kenneal - lagger »

Shillwatch wrote:But they were there long before Labour got into power. I don't think Maggie would have had a problem getting rid of them because of a few Labour objections, especially considering everything else she did to the country....
like turning it round from the poor man of Europe, which had to go to the IMF for a loan, into one of the richest and most successful in attracting inward investment.
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Totally_Baffled
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Post by Totally_Baffled »

kenneal wrote:
Shillwatch wrote:But they were there long before Labour got into power. I don't think Maggie would have had a problem getting rid of them because of a few Labour objections, especially considering everything else she did to the country....
like turning it round from the poor man of Europe, which had to go to the IMF for a loan, into one of the richest and most successful in attracting inward investment.
Yep, GDP doubled between 1980 abd 1990...
TB

Peak oil? ahhh smeg..... :(
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Shillwatch
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Post by Shillwatch »

Nice left turn. Don't think I'll come along for the ride this time, though.
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Totally_Baffled
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Post by Totally_Baffled »

Going back to the universal benefits, I think under normal circumstances - there would be no real pressure to review them. It aint broke dont fix it.

But given the monumental public deficit -- it only seems sensible to consider scaling them back for those on high incomes.

Somehow I don't think high income earners will stop voting tory if they lose a few quid on child benefit! Its a low poloticial risk, and I don't think the current administration has much choice.

This is of course all dependent on whether administering the means testing actually means a net saving!
TB

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Post by 2 As and a B »

Basically, those on high incomes will blame the LibDems for the policy that takes away universal benefits and will vote Tory at the next election and those on low incomes will blame the LibDems for supporting the Tory cuts and will vote Labour next time. Never mind that massive retrenchment is necessary, that taking benefits away from people who don't rely on them is fair, or that Labour only understands fiscal discipline in terms of how to spend other people's hard-earned money. Such a shame we can't have the austerity without the austerity. :?
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Post by MrG »

Somehow I don't think high income earners will stop voting tory if they lose a few quid on child benefit! Its a low poloticial risk
Of course, then the rich will be able to say, "Why should I contribute if I don't share in it?"
There you have it? Tory long term plan?

Annoy them a little bit now with a nice safe margin till the next election. Then give them a few years to start asking 'why should I pay taxes towards this if I never benefit from it?' Then begin the real attack on ALL benefits.
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Totally_Baffled
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Post by Totally_Baffled »

There you have it? Tory long term plan?

Annoy them a little bit now with a nice safe margin till the next election. Then give them a few years to start asking 'why should I pay taxes towards this if I never benefit from it?' Then begin the real attack on ALL benefits.
Sounds like conspiracy theory or paranoia to me! :wink:
TB

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Post by MrG »

Not really.. just an idea that popped into my head when I read the comments people had made

Actually I've been waiting to see what they did to the benefits system since they got elected and this is the first remotely firm steer I've seen so far on what they intend to do.

There was some talk a while back wasn't there about a 'negative income tax' but I haven't seen anyting about it since.
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