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Winter Watch

Posted: 19 Nov 2014, 19:01
by biffvernon
Apparently Buffalo ( town in America, they killed all the live ones) has been having some early wintry showers:

http://globalnews.ca/news/1680475/in-ph ... -new-york/

Or, as the man said:
A storm of epic proportions has blanketed much of upstate New York, trapping people in their homes and vehicles as more than six feet of snow fell in 48 hours.

And it’s not over yet.

Posted: 19 Nov 2014, 23:11
by snow hope
More global warming. :lol:

Posted: 20 Nov 2014, 02:51
by kenneal - lagger
Yes, Snow, it probably is. It is being described as a Lake Erie effect snowstorm caused by the lake being unusually warm at 47 deg F.
This week's intense cold blast is being triggered by an unusually extreme jet stream pattern, featuring a sharp ridge of high pressure along the U.S. West Coast and a deep trough of low pressure diving to the south over the Central United States. This configuration allows cold air to spill out of the Arctic behind the trough into the Central U.S., and be replaced by anomalously warm air flowing northwards along the West Coast of the U.S. deep into the Arctic. This extreme jet stream pattern is due, in part, to the influence of Super Typhoon Nuri, which caused a ripple effect on the jet stream after the typhoon became one of the most powerful extratropical storms ever recorded in the waters to the west of Alaska eleven days ago. However, we've seen an unusual number of extreme jet stream patterns like this in the past fifteen years, which happens to coincide with the period of time we've been observing record loss of summertime Arctic sea ice and record retreat of springtime snow cover in the Arctic. Could it be that these changes in the Arctic are causing the wacky jet stream behavior of recent years? That's the theory being advanced by a number of prominent climate scientists.

Posted: 20 Nov 2014, 10:41
by Blue Peter
This website: http://cci-reanalyzer.org/DailySummary/index_ds.php

is good for visualizing deviations from average temperature. The cold purple splodge has been on the US for the past week or so (moving eastwards I believe),


Peter.

Posted: 20 Nov 2014, 10:46
by emordnilap
The jet stream one is pretty graphic too.

Posted: 20 Nov 2014, 11:10
by biffvernon
snow hope wrote:More global warming.
That's right, more global warming results in more regional climate chaos. You're getting it. :)

Posted: 20 Nov 2014, 11:16
by biffvernon
Blue Peter wrote:This website: http://cci-reanalyzer.org/DailySummary/index_ds.php

is good for visualizing deviations from average temperature. The cold purple splodge has been on the US for the past week or so (moving eastwards I believe),
Peter.
Casti your eye away from the purple splodge on the Air Temperature map, towards Africa. The Sahara must usually be a warm place at this time of year but there's a 10°C positive anomaly in southern Libya and northern Mali. Hmmm.

Posted: 20 Nov 2014, 12:48
by adam2
Global warming should lead to increased snow or rain since increased temperatures lead to more evaporation, and that which evaporates must come down again as precipitation.

In mild climates such as most of the UK, extra snow is unlikely since even a slight increase in average temperatures means that the extra moisture is likely to be rain and not snow.

In cooler climates extra snow is likely, global warming might for example increase the average temperature from -12 to -10, but since that is still below freezing the extra precipitation will be snow.

Posted: 21 Nov 2014, 12:15
by emordnilap
biffvernon wrote:
snow hope wrote:More global warming.
That's right, more global warming results in more regional climate chaos. You're getting it. :)
The waters off the coast of New England are warming more rapidly than almost any other ocean region on earth

Pershing and a colleague documented the gulf's rapid warming — including an uptick of roughly three degrees Celsius over the past decade. In 2012, a massive, unprecedented oceanic heat wave descended on the entire northwest Atlantic with the gulf at its epicenter, making it the warmest year on record. Last year proved to be the second warmest ever documented, but Pershing says 2014 may beat that — despite last winter's frigid "polar vortex."
Source

Posted: 21 Nov 2014, 14:45
by emordnilap
The world is approaching the warmest year “in spite of the U.S. being pretty cold,” Arndt said. That’s because the United States is only 2 per cent of the world’s area and the part that’s unusually cold is about 1.5 per cent of the entire globe, he said.
Source

Posted: 21 Nov 2014, 15:20
by kenneal - lagger
emordnilap wrote:
That’s because the United States is only 2 per cent of the world’s area and the part that’s unusually cold is about 1.5 per cent of the entire globe, he said.
And it also has about 52% of the most gullible electorate in the world who will listen to 90% of the most stupid/dishonest/greedy/ignorant/add your own derogatory adjective business people the world has ever known.