Planned Somerset nuclear plant on hold ? or not ?
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- adam2
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China making what some might consider to be threats regarding the delay.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37016120
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37016120
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https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... ear-debate
Crown estate says wind is cheaper than nuclear.
Crown estate says wind is cheaper than nuclear.
- adam2
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I suspect that they are correct in that wind power is cheaper than nuclear, and even if they are not correct at present, they soon will be.
Nuclear energy is liable to become more expensive in time as it is tending towards greater complexity, with more and more safety features to add costs and reduce reliability.
Decommissioning/dismantling is also apt to become more expensive with time as ever higher standards are expected.
Wind power by contrast is becoming cheaper due to mass production of the turbines, and greater experience in installing them.
Wind is not the complete answer for the simple reason that wind power is not continually available.
By my reasonably informed estimate, the UK grid could accept at least another 6GW of wind capacity, and with minor alterations, about twice as much.
Nuclear energy is liable to become more expensive in time as it is tending towards greater complexity, with more and more safety features to add costs and reduce reliability.
Decommissioning/dismantling is also apt to become more expensive with time as ever higher standards are expected.
Wind power by contrast is becoming cheaper due to mass production of the turbines, and greater experience in installing them.
Wind is not the complete answer for the simple reason that wind power is not continually available.
By my reasonably informed estimate, the UK grid could accept at least another 6GW of wind capacity, and with minor alterations, about twice as much.
"Installers and owners of emergency diesels must assume that they will have to run for a week or more"
- adam2
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The uncertain future of Hinkley C was mentioned on tonight's evening news (BBC early evening news, West country edition, Friday 28/08/2016)
An expert implied that the proposed nuclear plant is not as vital as is commonly suggested, and that alternatives including wind power would be better value for money.
The vast cost and time overruns of the two similar plants were mentioned.
I felt that the report was reasonably balanced.
An expert implied that the proposed nuclear plant is not as vital as is commonly suggested, and that alternatives including wind power would be better value for money.
The vast cost and time overruns of the two similar plants were mentioned.
I felt that the report was reasonably balanced.
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BBC is blogging that Hinkley will go ahead - because they haven't heard anything to say it won't
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37352816
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37352816
- adam2
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Slightly more detail here
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news
Whilst the government decision sounds final, we must remember the number of "final" approvals that have previously been given.
The latest delay must have added to costs and I suspect either EDF will demand a larger subsidy, or that china will demand a more profitable return on their investment.
Our government will no doubt refuse to pay more in either up front subsidy or via a higher price for the electricity produced, leading to another few years of studies, reviews and consultations.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news
Whilst the government decision sounds final, we must remember the number of "final" approvals that have previously been given.
The latest delay must have added to costs and I suspect either EDF will demand a larger subsidy, or that china will demand a more profitable return on their investment.
Our government will no doubt refuse to pay more in either up front subsidy or via a higher price for the electricity produced, leading to another few years of studies, reviews and consultations.
"Installers and owners of emergency diesels must assume that they will have to run for a week or more"
UK electric demand peaked back in 2005, been falling since and has fallen by almost twice Hinkley's expect output. This is despite increasing population and GDP growth.
Hinkley C, expected to generated ~8% UK power for £18bn+ in 10yrs time? Why not just cut demand 8%? Gotta be cheaper/quicker? ...and no ongoing bills! Peak demand can be cut for £203/kW, so replacing Hinkley's output would cost just £650m, far cheaper!
Hinkley C, expected to generated ~8% UK power for £18bn+ in 10yrs time? Why not just cut demand 8%? Gotta be cheaper/quicker? ...and no ongoing bills! Peak demand can be cut for £203/kW, so replacing Hinkley's output would cost just £650m, far cheaper!
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If the "go" button has really been irreversibly pushed on this disaster in waiting, as the Beeb are spinning, I predict this is as good as it gets and relationships between the project partners can only spiral downwards in a jet stream of mutual distrust, bitter recrimination and endlessly "unanticipated" enormous cost over runs and brain hurting technical "issues" (the Brexit syndrome).
So yes whilst construction may now proceed, it will never get as far as being commissioned. This is total political, economic and environmental poison and demonstrates how inexperienced a highly arrogant and stuck up it's arse UK plc is at negotiating from a position of weakness.
So yes whilst construction may now proceed, it will never get as far as being commissioned. This is total political, economic and environmental poison and demonstrates how inexperienced a highly arrogant and stuck up it's arse UK plc is at negotiating from a position of weakness.
Overconfidence, not just expert overconfidence but general overconfidence,
is one of the most common illusions we experience. Stan Robinson
is one of the most common illusions we experience. Stan Robinson