Wind power's not intermittent, honest!

Can Wind Power meet the energy needs of Britain in the 21st century or is it just a lot of overblown hype?

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Bandidoz
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Post by Bandidoz »

Handbags boys and girls :roll:

Yes, back in 2007 or so the REF did have a page with a good set of useful data. But not any more it seems.
An Inspector Calls wrote:The spin in your link was painted by the Telegraph. No demonstration that that spin was sourced by REF in any way.
I reiterate that both the Telegraph article and the REF report it was based on were essentially saying the same thing; I doubt very much that the Telegraph would take a report from the REF out of context.
An Inspector Calls wrote:You say the REF report observed: "bigger turbines have better CF
No I didn't. Read what I wrote; when you read the REF data it demonstrated that bigger turbines usually have better CF. However that data is no longer available. The articles just said that "some windfarms have bad CF" with no regard to the sizes of the turbines or how effectively they were sited. Granted that the Telgraph would have used the word "Turkey" and the REF did not.
An Inspector Calls wrote: Just to put you out of your misery, I assume the article was one of these three which are still on the REF site but have moved (hence the link failures):
http://www.ref.org.uk/uk-renewable-energy-data
http://www.ref.org.uk/images/PDFs/wind. ... w.2008.pdf
http://www.ref.org.uk/images/PDFs/REDs1 ... 0%20v1.pdf
Nope - if you check the Telegraph article - it was written at the end of 2006 - none of those links are relevent. IIRC it was a "press release" as opposed to a consultancy document.

BTW - thanks for the links - the last one is of interest and is similar to the data page that we used to look at.
Last edited by Bandidoz on 28 Jul 2011, 14:30, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by An Inspector Calls »

Bandidoz wrote:http://www.ref.org.uk/uk-renewable-energy-data
http://www.ref.org.uk/images/PDFs/wind. ... w.2008.pdf
http://www.ref.org.uk/images/PDFs/REDs1 ... 0%20v1.pdf
Nope - if you check the Telegraph article - it was written at the end of 2006 - none of those links are relevent. It possibly might have been the first issue of their RED document - but that's just speculation.
As I pointed out, the last article has been around since 2006 (perhaps even earlier). The fact that's it dated 2010 is simply because it's been updated. I think you'll find it might be the report you cited. Isn't it the tenth edition?

And
http://www.ref.org.uk/uk-renewable-energy-data
is a report sepcifically for 2006.

And I reiterate that the article you quoted was the Telegraph not the REF.
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Post by Bandidoz »

I've checked the linked documents - it was none of those (including the 2006 report). IIRC it was a "press release" as opposed to one of those consultancy documents.
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Post by Glow Worm »

Where are you getting this rubbish from :shock:

I see that it's NOT really relevant as it is "industry" provided and not peer checked :roll: It's also OLD DATA...

Here is the info from the company ELTRA.. from the mouth of those who KNOW whats really going on...
Eltra and Denmark’s own Government has reached the following official conclusion:

"One of the consequences of Danish policy has been the need to operate a very complex power system, in this case where wind and local CHP plants generated 50% of power produced in 2001. This has led to some power overflow situations. At present, balancing a power system like the Danish one can only be done because it is connected to areas with other types of production - not a solution that is acceptable in the long term.
Internal Danish measures are now needed if critical situations and disturbances are to be avoided".


I.E. they are going back to the old system and concentrating on ground heat extraction, large centralised old style coal, bio mass (straw) and oil plants. They are closing down the multitude of subsidised small power plants and reducing the subsidy on wind power to the point where the private owners will have to close as they cost more to run than they can earn even with a 200% cost subsidy.

I’ve since spoken to an engineer in Denmark who works on their electricity grid supply system. Apart from confirming what was said about wind turbines creating problems with fluctuating supply, inherent frequency problems and latency issues that result in power failure and local switching station damage he also tells me that the system relies heavily on “Imported” power from Norway and Sweden when problems with wind power when the wind drops and Denmark’s other alternate power generation systems need time to start up to cover the drop and that in the main it is supplied from their nuclear generation plants !!!!

"Until we invent a way of storing huge amounts of electricity, wind energy can never be relevant to our future," says Gundolf Dany, chief engineer of the Institute of Power systems in Aachen. The extra cost of "balance " power in Germany is about €500 million a year. Throttled back or idling, however, power plants are more polluting, like a car stopped at a traffic light. Dany and other engineers report that windmills have an insignificant impact on pollution reduction and in some cases even increase it.

This fact strikes at the heart of wind energy's promise. It explains why
not one power station has yet been replaced by the thousands of windmills already operating in Europe. Of course to fit in with variations of supply, power plants have to throttle back so they produce less electricity which drives up their running costs. And even when idling, they are still polluting.

Nor is wind energy cheap. All windmills in Europe are fuelled by subsidies. And the UK's plans to rely more heavily on wind power will bring extra costs vast new wind farms must be connected to the grid. But existing transmission lines are full up.

The Energy White Paper (DTI 2003) says unequivocally of the “subsidies”: - “The cost is met through higher prices to consumers.” Grid improvements will cost £1.3 billion up to 2010 to connect existing and already approved sites. This cost will be bourn by the tax payer and through higher electricity costs.

In the Danish town of Fredericia, Henning Rasmussen sits in the control room of a transmission system operator, balancing the input of wind energy with demand for power.
"In strong winds, our windmills provide as much as five power stations" he says.
"But when the wind arrives one or two hours later than forecast, we get nothing and we have to ask our neighbours to save us."

Rasmussen gets on the phone to negotiate extra power from Nordic countries and Germany. Ironically, this means Danes often use hated nuclear power from Sweden and Finland. When there's too much wind, surplus power is given away. "A couple of years ago, we even had to pay Sweden to take it" says Rasmussen. "It was crazy! "

In Denmark this same transfer of costs has doubled the price of electricity, compared with ours, and CO2-emissions in Denmark are still rising even after the huge investment in wind energy.

"In green terms windmills are a mistake and economically they make no sense," says Niels Gram of the Danish Federation of Industries.
" Many of us thought wind was the 100 percent solution for the future but we were wrong. In fact, taking all energy needs into account, it 's only a three percent solution."

Danish experts admit that wind power has not worked out very well.
"In just a few years we 've gone from some of the cheapest electricity in Europe to some of the most costly," says Jytte Kaad Jensen,chief economist for Eltra, Denmark 's biggest electricity distributor.

Aase Madsen, an MP who chairs energy policy in the Danish parliament, is emphatic: "For our industry it has been a terribly expensive disaster."

An important article "Flere Vindmøller Skaber Kaos" by Niels Sandøe was published in the Danish newspaper, Jyllands Posten, on 4th June 2003. Herewith is a short summary::-.....

Electrical power supplied must balance the power demand plus transmission losses at every second of the day. If this balance is not achieved, either there will be an automatic disconnection of either supply (to prevent physical damage to generating plant) or of loads (blackouts). Conventional plant has to be run in conjunction with the unpredictable wind generators and their output varied in order to provide a cushioning effect.

When large changes in wind power occur, beyond the capability of such conventional plant to compensate, then the assistance of neighbouring systems has been called upon.

With excess wind power the surplus has to be dumped somehow. Help is secured from Germany, Sweden or Norway by offering zero-priced electrical energy. Unfortunately it appears that Germany has, at times, the same problem because of its own wind-turbine concentration in the same region. When the wind blows strongly, the problem is to dispose of the excess wind electricity. Hence the price drops -- which is why Denmark has been known to export electricity at zero economic benefit.

When will people WAKE UP!!!!

Wind power is NOT free.

Wind power connected to the National Grid on a large scale is NOT an environmentally good idea.

Wind power is NOT cheap.

Wind power will NOT save any Co2 production from existing power stations.

The way this Country has created the Renewable Obligation Certificate system means that power station owners can buy their requirement to produce so much power by renewable means buy buying RoC on the stock exchange and run their "dirty" power stations longer and harder to raise the extra money to pay for it..ultimatly raising the cost of power while that meagre amount produced by wind power cant even be "seen" on out National Grid System and cant be relied upon to allow any of the existing "dirty" power stations to ramp down..

Even when the Gird can "see" enough power arriving from wind the grid cant ramp down power stations quickly enough to save any Co2 production and even if they could ramp them down as quickly as the wind changes then those power stations would still have to tick over waiting for the wind to die down, effectively burning fuel for no gain at all.. What then is the saving?

You are spoon fed the idealism minus any real science, fact or true understanding. While the customer requires power supply to be reliable and constant, wind farms, especially the small 1 to 30 turbine land based farms will NEVER work if the intention is to cut emissions...

GET REAL... all they do is pander to the greenists, provide political green vote gathering, raise the cost of electricity and make £millions for the owners...that take that money OUT of the power generation economic cycle.. I.E. "WE" pay for that money to go into their pockets with no real benefit to the environment or to us.....

I find that most of those who promote wind power dont really understand it at all. They gleam data from those who are promoting it, especially the British Wind Energy Association (BWEA) that are a lobby group who are PAID to promote wind power by the owners of wind farms and the builders of turbines. They have been taken to the advertising standards several times and lost… giving false data. They lobby with false facts and don’t respond to journalistic questioning.

But there are similar things happening on both sides of the argument. Sadly the real facts are hard to find.

Is wind power a good idea.. well yes it is.. Sadly though trying to connect it to the UK National Grid on a large scale is extremely difficult and ultimately impossible financially to do properly and that’s why it will NEVER work in the way it is being promoted.. I.E. as a cheap clean alternative to our existing system that will save Co2 production.

Carbon capture is far far better… Wave energy is far far better.
But these two real alternatives wont ever be accepted because they wont make HUGE AMOUNTS OF MONEY for the owners…

Until the UK population will accept huge price rises (They are just filtering through now) associated with implementing the green agenda and accept intermittent supply and accept a vastly reduced personal use of energy , I.E. a total life style change, then wind power is just so much political spin that will never work properly.
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Post by Glow Worm »

goslow wrote:I have been investigating wind power in Denmark as I've heard many comments like

...they are moving away from wind power.

..they have higher carbon intensity than other countries with less wind power

First, we got the message that the Danish government now aims for carbon free electricty by 2050, so they are clearly not stepping back from renewables including wind.

Second, I found several rather diverse data for the Danish carbon intensity - the highest being 881 g CO2/ KWh in "Sustainable Energy without the hot air"! However, the latest IEA data I found (2009) was 350 g CO2/KWh, which is less than the UK at 450. Did McKay make an error here?

A 19% capacity factor is not so impressive, is it! But it may still be economically viable for the Danes.
Your data is wrong
also
Wind power is NOT and will NEVER be economically viable.
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Post by Glow Worm »

biffvernon wrote:
Glow Worm wrote:Denmark...who have moved away from wind energy on a large scale as a grid power provider..
That is not a true statement.

Image


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_Denmark
Yes it is.. your data is OLD
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Post by Bandidoz »

Is that the same ELTRA as this one, with the "Smart Grid Magazine" on the front page?
http://www.energinet.dk/EN/Sider/default.aspx


The only articles I can find that contain quotes of "One of the consequences of Danish policy" are these - and they don't look very negative.....

http://www.seai.ie/Archive1/Files_Misc/ ... pdate9.pdf

http://www.cospp.com/articles/print/vol ... grids.html




http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energinet.dk
Energinet.dk was created by a merger of power grid operators Eltra, Elkraft System and Elkraft Transmission, and by natural gas transmission system operator Gastra.[2] The merger took place on 24 August 2005 with retrospective effect from 1 January 2005.
So on the one hand you're espousing that ELTRA is "The Horse's Mouth", and on the other that we're all guilty of using "OLD DATA".
Glow Worm wrote:"One of the consequences of Danish policy has been the need to operate a very complex power system, in this case where wind and local CHP plants generated 50% of power produced in 2001.....
...which has been pulled verbatim from this forum:
http://www.quantockonline.co.uk/phpBB/v ... p?f=5&t=42
(ANDY T » Fri Nov 28, 2003 2:50 am )

:roll:
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Post by Glow Worm »

biffvernon wrote:That's what the graph I posted says.

Denmark capacity factor 24% http://www.bwea.com/ref/capacityfactors.html
or
Image
http://rmschneider.wordpress.com/2010/1 ... 1990-2009/

But 'capacity factor' is not really a very useful measure for judging the usefulness of a wind turbine. It's just a metric that is handy for comparing one site with another, one year from another. The maximum possible generation rate from my solar pv is about 4kW but the 'capacity factor' is very low because the Sun keeps setting every evening. Am I bovvered?
sadly the BWEA or the "Wind Industry" as a whole dont give true data..

"This site will produce enough power for "x" amount of homes" is almost ALWAYS proved wrong..

When the data is finally corrected, often many years later, the true facts become clear.. such as:
To get a general assessment of the amount of wind power used in Denmark, it is therefore necessary to use a more sensitive estimate fo the relationship, as explained in section 3. … For the whole country, the level of coverage in 2005 was 13.6% (not 18.7% as stated by the wind turbine industry), and in 2006 it was 10.3% (not 17%).

Relying upon Wiki "facts" is also dangerous...

BUT you might have a point.. Denmark seems to have changed it's standing on wind power again.. I stand corrected... my data is also old.. (several years old)...

BUT the Government has changed again..so might the policy on wind power :wink:

Japans recent issues might also greatly change the willingness of the "public" to listen to the industry facts regardless of it's inaccurancy...

POLITICs is always the spanner in the works...
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Post by Bandidoz »

Glow Worm wrote: I stand corrected... my data is also old.. (several years old)...
Thank you....
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Post by biffvernon »

RICHMOND, Va. — Federal officials say two nuclear reactors at the North Anna Power Station in Louisa County, Va., were automatically taken off line by safety systems around the time of the earthquake.
The Dominion-operated power plant is being run off three emergency diesel generators, which are supplying power for critical safety equipment. The NRC and Dominion are sending people to inspect the plant.
A fourth diesel generator failed, but it wasn’t considered an emergency because the other generators are working, according to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
Dominion said it declared an alert at the North Anna facility and the reactors have been shut down safely and no major damage has been reported.
The earthquake was felt at the company’s other Virginia nuclear power station, Surry Power Station in southeast Virginia, but not as strongly there. Both units at that power station continue to operate safely, Dominion said.
The quake also caused Dominion’s newest power station, Bear Garden in Buckingham County, to shut down automatically.
As of now, no reports of shutdowns, oil spills, or radioactive leaks at any wind turbines.
Windbaggers and climate deniers like to say that renewables are “intermittent, unreliable power”. But, when large power plants like nukes trip offline, they very often do so instantaneously, presenting a real challenge to electric grids. By contrast, when winds calm, wind power generally slows predictably, allowing system operators hours to adjust and shift loads.
http://thinkprogress.org/romm/2011/08/2 ... %E2%80%9D/
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Post by biffvernon »

Seems nuclear is intermittent, dependant on the wind :)
[Update 3:16 a.m. Sunday] A nuclear power reactor automatically went offline late Saturday in Calvert Cliffs, Maryland, due to strong wind gusts from Hurricane Irene, said Mark Sullivan, spokesman for the Constellation Energy Nuclear Group said.
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