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Government Renewables Strategy
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 07:54
by biffvernon
Today's government renewables strategy document doesn't seem to be published yet but this caught my eye. On the
BERR site there's a report about a report from The Renewables Advisory Board that includes this:
* Installation of the Severn Barrage, half of which would count towards the 2020 target provided construction begins before 2016.
So how does that work? The Barrage will doubtless take more than 4 years to build but its future renewable energy production gets counted in the 2020 target.
We'll have to look at today's report carefully.
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 08:24
by biffvernon
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 09:18
by Andy Hunt
It seems very ambitious, whether or not it is practically realisable in view of lead times for wind turbine manufacture/purchase etc remains to be seen.
The gov't seem to be saying that building all these new renewables will push energy prices higher, but that's a price we will have to pay for tackling climate change.
Seems a bit disingenuous somehow - energy prices are rising because of scarcity in the face of high demand. I haven't heard any mention of the energy security aspect of the proposed new renewables (although Keepz would doubtless say that's because there isn't any).
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 10:30
by oilslick
Andy Hunt wrote:It seems very ambitious, whether or not it is practically realisable in view of lead times for wind turbine manufacture/purchase etc remains to be seen.
The gov't seem to be saying that building all these new renewables will push energy prices higher, but that's a price we will have to pay for tackling climate change.
Seems a bit disingenuous somehow - energy prices are rising because of scarcity in the face of high demand. I haven't heard any mention of the energy security aspect of the proposed new renewables (although Keepz would doubtless say that's because there isn't any).
Yep, I heard the same on the radio this morning and swore at it!
Why the flippin' heck can't they just say "Look, we're basically either going back to the dark ages or you NIMBYs can all sod off, every town is getting 7 wind turbines. Which do you prefer?"
They're getting voted out anyway so they may as well break the news to the little folk. They could always blame the tories for not thinking of it...
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 11:08
by Adam1
Why are we having
another consultation?
Ashley Seager makes the point well.
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 11:53
by RenewableCandy
Gah! I've just put it out in Government and Society...didn't see it here.
Is it worth co-ordinating a PowerSwitch response (although given dark rumours I've heard that HMG then count organisations whose answers they don't like, as one person, it might actually be better if we all send in similar ones as individuals
)
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 12:16
by biffvernon
Here's our Prime Minister's speech to the Government's Low Carbon Economy Summit on London's South Bank.
this morning:
Ladies and gentlemen can I start by thanking Sir Tom McKillop and the Royal Bank of Scotland for co-hosting this event and congratulate him for the excellent work which RBS is doing to finance investment in low carbon projects and support research into new technologies, particularly renewables. You really are a testament to the ways in which business can be energized by a low carbon strategy and a model for the businesses represented at this summit today.
When I first proposed holding this conference - last November - the price of oil was $90 dollars a barrel, up from just $60 dollars a year before. Today it is over $130 dollars.
The resulting energy and fuel price rises are hurting families and businesses - and pose a real risk of increased instability and damage to the global economy.
This makes our summit today particularly well timed. For every country of the world is having to face up to the consequences of this global change. And I want to tell you today what I believe this means for us here in Britain.
Our response must have two elements. First, we need to facilitate a reduction in short-term global oil prices through commitments to greater investment and transparency in the market.
(my emphasis)
OK, to be fair to the man we'd better read the rest. He might have said something worthwile:
http://www.number-10.gov.uk/output/Page15846.asp
His second point is:
Second, we must set out a clear strategy to reduce, progressively over time, our dependence on oil.
Got that? Progressively over time. No rush then, take it easy, lets have a consultation.
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 12:40
by Andy Hunt
Second, we must set out a clear strategy to reduce, progressively over time, our dependence on oil.
Erm . . . aren't we supposed to have been doing that for decades, as part of our climate change strategy?
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 18:17
by skeptik
Adam1 wrote:Why are we having another consultation?
NIMTOO - Not In My Turn Of Office. or 'If in doubt do nowt'
Its how ministers and senior civil servants work. The idea is to push any possibly shit generating decision into the future and onto the next guy in office. Tony Blair has managed this brilliantly as far as lumbering G.Brown with the collapse of the UK bubble economy.
Ideally one never makes any decisions at all. The name of the game is to preserve 'a clean slate' and a reputation for having a 'safe pair of hands' . That's how to progress up the ministerial ladder. Create a fuss by taking a controversial and possibly vote losing decision - even if it is in retrospect the correct decision - and it's back to the back benches at the next ministerial re-shuffle. Lack of fuckups is valued more highly than achievement on the political CV, and the real troublemakers, no matter how talented, never get appointed at all.
Unfortunately in the wider scheme of things (apart from that cushy pension and a handful of juicy non-executive directorhips) this means that political decision making descends into perpetual crisis management. Nothing gets done in a timely fashion. Joe Public suffers accordingly.
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 18:33
by Adam1
skeptik wrote:Adam1 wrote:Why are we having another consultation?
NIMTOO - Not In My Turn Of Office. or 'If in doubt do nought'
Its how ministers and senior civil servants work. The idea is to push any possibly shit generating decision into the future and onto the next guy in office. Tony Blair has managed this brilliantly as far as lumbering G.Brown with the collapse of the UK bubble economy.
Ideally one never makes any decisions at all. The name of the game is to preserve 'a clean slate' and a reputation for having a 'safe pair of hands' . That's how to progress up the ministerial ladder. Create a fuss by taking a controversial and possibly vote losing decision - even if it is in retrospect the correct decision - and it's back to the back benches at the next ministerial re-shuffle.
Unfortunately in the wider scheme of things (apart from that cushy pension and a handful of juicy non-executive directorhips) this means that political decision making descends to perpetual crisis management. Nothing gets done in a timely fashion. Joe Public suffers accordingly.
Yeah, you may be right. It is odd that there have been so many announcements by the government in the last few months. It is almost as if they think that if they announce it often enough, it will magically happen.
Fred Pearce's take on it is that this time it may mean something because it is BERR rather than DEFRA who are doing the announcing.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree ... enpolitics
Fred Pearce wrote:There are plenty of reasons to be cynical. Twenty years ago Chris Patten, the then Tory environment secretary, promised a renewable Britain. A decade ago Labour's Michael Meacher pledged 10% renewable electricity by 2010.
So why the optimism this time? Why should we believe ministers' promises to deliver 15% of all our energy (not just electricity) from renewables by 2020, and to construct7,000 wind turbines ? an enterprise they say will cost ?10bn?
Three reasons. First, the announcement comes from the business department, which is in charge of keeping the lights on, and not the environment ministry. Second, there are signs of joined-up thinking, for example in how to connect all those turbines to our homes. Earlier this week ministers announced plans for a new offshore national grid, costing ?3bn, to collect the 10%-15% of our power they say will be generated by offshore wind turbines by 2020.
And third, as John Hutton, the business secretary, puts it, there is no alternative. Britain is committed, as a downpayment on decarbonising the EU, to that 15% target. And with transport mired in biofuels controversy, the strategy document suggests 30%-35% of our electricity generation will have to come from renewables: mostly wind, but with walk-on parts for solar and perhaps tidal and wave power.
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 18:38
by Adam1
...also, I heard (earlier today on Radio 4) Hutton or one of his underlings emphasizing that we have no choice about this move to renewables...the status quo is not an option etc. It almost sounded like a peakist talking, almost.
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 18:40
by landyowner
On the BBC today: UK plans big wind power expansion
I noticed however, G. Brown saying ""The North Sea has now passed its peak of oil and gas supply".
I wonder when we will see "The world has now passed its peak of oil and gas supply"?
Link to the article:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/7474592.stm
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 18:48
by skeptik
landyowner wrote:
I wonder when we will see "The world has now passed its peak of oil and gas supply"?
I dont think that will be universally admitted until the global total hydrocarbon liquids graph looks like the current UK North Sea graph - i.e once we've come off the current plateau of 85MBD (plus or minus a million or so) and have seen about a decade of continual decline. Until then there will be all sorts of excuses for the 'temporary difficulties' in supply. I think there's going to be a prolonged argument, much like that about global warming, with 'peak oilers' on one side and economists on the other. The decline will be undeniable, but it's causes, and whether it can be reversed, will generate terabytes of hot air.
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 18:59
by Keepz
Andy Hunt wrote:The gov't seem to be saying that building all these new renewables will push energy prices higher, but that's a price we will have to pay for tackling climate change.
Seems a bit disingenuous somehow - energy prices are rising because of scarcity in the face of high demand. I haven't heard any mention of the energy security aspect of the proposed new renewables (although Keepz would doubtless say that's because there isn't any).
I would say the reason you haven't heard any mention, is that what you hear is what the media chooses to pass on to you; the consultation document itself, if you can stay awake long enough perusing it, does look at the security of supply aspects.
It's only mainly (ie not totally) true that energy prices are rising for demand-supply reasons. They are also rising because they (rightly) now include a cost of carbon, plus (less rightly imho) the cost of subsidising renewables through the renewables obligation - for even with fossil fuel prices the way they are, and with the carbon cost included in the cost of using fossil fuels for electricity generation, renewables still need a hefty subsidy; and if we want more of them, we are going to have to pay more for them.
Posted: 26 Jun 2008, 19:47
by MacG
skeptik wrote:landyowner wrote:
I wonder when we will see "The world has now passed its peak of oil and gas supply"?
I dont think that will be universally admitted until the global total hydrocarbon liquids graph looks like the current UK North Sea graph - i.e once we've come off the current plateau of 85MBD (plus or minus a million or so) and have seen about a decade of continual decline. Until then there will be all sorts of excuses for the 'temporary difficulties' in supply. I think there's going to be a prolonged argument, much like that about global warming, with 'peak oilers' on one side and economists on the other. The decline will be undeniable, but it's causes, and whether it can be reversed, will generate terabytes of hot air.
Not if we get a gut wrenching economic collapse. In that case nobody will bother much about oil. If "the machine" start to sputter or even stops, gasoline prices might even decline significantly despite declining extraction rates.