Yes there is. Or, at least, one which is least unfair. It should have been the solution from the start.UndercoverElephant wrote:That wouldn't have been fair, because they'd have lost their teaching in the crucial months leading up to the exam. Although it probably would have been less bad than the current situation, which is completely unresolvable.vtsnowedin wrote: Even with Covid-19 I would think students could actually sit for an exam to get a real grade.
If they take teachers predicted grades (unmoderated) then it is unfair on those pupils whose teachers were realistic instead of optimistic, and also on students from other years.
There is no fair solution now.
Simply take the previous, say, five year's cohorts in a given school. Discount any significant outliers in those cohorts. Average the grades achieved for the pupils in those cohorts. Create a correlational table of NC levels and eventual GCSE levels of those cohorts. Then use that data to predict what the kids in the current cohort, given their own prior NC levels, would have got and assign them a grade accordingly.
Clearly, by assigning the current cohort of kids in some schools, 1, 2 or even 3 grades below what kids in their schools got in previous years, the government agency responsible for this fiasco did not use an algorithm even remotely employing the above method.