yada yada yada.....ReserveGrowthRulz wrote:Not "if". I've tutored the Saudi engineers in college, and worked with ARAMCO folks professionally. I made a statement, and it was based on experience working with their personnel.Little John wrote: If the Saudis "do this quite well", ....
I already told you. There is an optimal rate, based on maximizing ultimate recoverability. It is no longer 5 million barrels per day.Little John wrote: ...what is your explanation for why production is not currently matching the peak of production?
Your first sentence is correct.Little John wrote: In other words, if the Saudi's do this quite well, then their production level at the peak of production was also being presumably managed quite well. Given that, what is your explanation for their production level now not being managed quite as well as it was previously?
Your second sentence is incorrect. Optimal reservoir management is rate independent, when maximizing for optimal recovery. Optimal recovery is not rate, it is the percentage of oil recovered from the original oil in place. Everyone wants more of that ratio (recovered/inplace), not less.
With the lack of enthusiasm you have demonstrated in even discussing your logical disconnect with what a peak is, getting into how one goes about configuring a given field's optimal recovery with a given rate with you probably be a waste of my time.
Not yours of course, because right now you appear to have a set of talking points you wish to stick to, rather than have a discussion where both sides are participating. I'm game with that approach as well, as it tends to suit peak oilers far better than discussing the scientific and technical concepts involved.
You have not provided a single shred of evidence to back up your claim other than an appeal to your own authority.
You've had your chance
You are a bullshitter.
