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Another point, it is going to take decades to figure out and setup a low oil, post peak society. So you saying we have 30-40 years of oil left is not reassuring. If we have only 30 years to make this giant transition back to a low energy situation, then we better start now, because 30 years is plain...

Check out the excellent Orinoco detail here: http://cohesion.rice.edu/naturalsciences/earthscience/research.cfm?doc_id=2819 Once you read the stupendous amount of money invested to obtain a relatively tiny trickle of oil by the end of the decade at vast CO2 cost, the future doesn't look so rosy. If ...

I have just finished it and can safely say that in my view it is distinctly average. The writing style was grating, and the earlier comment about the irritating format is spot on. There is a small set of chapters overviewing the challenges of peak oil and climate change, which will mostly be familia...

Mr. Buckee needs to have a talk with RGR. RGR will put him straight. :wink: Anyone who wants to define "gee we have 30 or 40 years supply socked away in reserves" as "running out" is okay by me as long as they are honest about their definition. I don't like such a definition of ...

Then ask yourself, if we've already discovered THAT many Saudi Arabi's in just 10 years, can it be that difficult to do it again? Very Happy Ah, the cornucopian argument. The point you make is ridiculous: We have been successful in the past at finding and tapping a non-renewable resource, thus we w...

http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/key_graphs_08/WEO_2008_Key_Graphs.pdf Take a look at graph number 8. The IEA says Production reaches 104 mb/d in 2030, requiring 64 mb/d of gross capacity additions –six times the current capacity of Saudi Arabia –to meet demand growth & counter decline" We...

"I just doubt it happening on sufficient scale to meet consumption" is completely reasonable. Maybe it will. Maybe it won't. But this is the RIGHT context to place oil supply in...match it with consumption/demand. But with world population rising rapidly, surely consumption of oil will ri...

RGR, I hope we can agree that Crude oil is a very useful substance. How can the prospect of it running low and rising in price be viewed with anything other than trepidation? I live in the UK, a heavily populated country and there is no doubt in my mind that without food imports and mechanized agric...

Bring a jumper and jacket. Its a proper miserable winter

The population problem is the key problem we have to face; the easy solutions are not ethical, and the ethical solutions are not easy. Not a lot seems to be being said or done about it at present which tends to imply that the ultimate solution will be one of the miserable unpleasant ones. Starvation...

Why bring genocide into it? Surely allowing access to contraception to everyone on the planet and encouraging small families would be a sensible measure short of war and mass murder. Oh wait, that would be against so many religions..... best get ready to begin the slaughter... oh wait, genocide alre...

Also it's worth pointing out that "fine to 2030", even if we believed the optimistic view, still means peak oil in my likely lifetime, and my children's lifetime. Postponing the problem by using the tar sands and in the process severely messing with the climate seems to be a poor deal. The...

RGR, the IEA changed their mind very quickly between 2007 and 2008. "Radical change" is the phrase used in the video. They painted an optimistic picture in the past and it is clear that the rosy view was wrong: The shortfall in oil supply in the IEA view by 2030 is 7m bpd, supplied by the ...

The IEA reckon 6+% declines. That's closer to the scenario where we are screwed than the scenario where we are safe.