Search found 5694 matches

by PS_RalphW
Fri Jan 15, 2021 7:24 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

Duplicate post deleted
by PS_RalphW
Fri Jan 15, 2021 7:22 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

Little John wrote: Fri Jan 15, 2021 7:14 pm
And on what basis, precisely where these "baseline assumptions" made?
Read the article, it lists lots of studies that it used to set the baseline assumptions.
by PS_RalphW
Fri Jan 15, 2021 7:15 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

So far this anecdotal, but it does not bode well. my bold. Post-COVID Lungs Worse Than the Worst Smokers' Lungs, Surgeon Says https://twitter.com/BKendallMD/status/1346030479112331265 https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/covid-lungs-worse-smokers-lungs/ A Texas trauma surgeon says it's rare that X-rays ...
by PS_RalphW
Fri Jan 15, 2021 6:50 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

Bollocks. either because no such study exist. Or because they have not found that at all. Which you give the game away on with the use of the word "estimated" Link? https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2774707 The baseline assumptions for the model were that peak i...
by PS_RalphW
Fri Jan 15, 2021 4:24 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

This virus is overwhelmingly likely to: (a) over time evolve towards less lethal strains There is vey little evolutionary pressure on this virus to become less lethal at the moment. The virus has approximately a 1% CFR in the Western population which is older, more overweight, more diabetes and man...
by PS_RalphW
Fri Jan 15, 2021 4:00 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

Aside from his statistics being incorrect, Dr Lee’s reasoning to discount the previous five-year average as a point of comparison is also questionable. To suggest the entire five-year block from 2015-2019 is anomalous and incomparable because the level of deaths was lower than in previous years see...
by PS_RalphW
Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:56 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

There seems to be a lot more concern about the 'Brazilian varient', with a new UK travel ban. I have not seen any analysis of which if any new mutation set is causing the surge of cases in Brazil, which is in SH summer. There are reports that the new varient is widely infecting people who have been ...
by PS_RalphW
Thu Jan 14, 2021 4:36 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

Just to back up Kenneal. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.01.11.21249461v1 When a Intensive Care Unit is full, the risk of individual patients dying increases sharply. A bit of a no-brainer, really. The more patients a unit has to help, the less help they can give each patient. Just emph...
by PS_RalphW
Wed Jan 13, 2021 11:08 pm
Forum: News
Topic: US watch
Replies: 177
Views: 5274

Re: US watch

Trump is impeached for a second time, 10 republicans joining the democrats in the house of representatives, Senate probably won't debate this before Trump leaves office, after that I do not see enough republican senators voting (17) to confirm the impeachment. Even then it would take a second vote t...
by PS_RalphW
Wed Jan 13, 2021 1:37 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

If you could manage to reign in the hysterical pant shitting for just a moment, it might help to note that the average annual death rate by all causes is 1% or more. I was simply pointing out the blatent factual factual error in your comment. Also, as widely reported, there have been 80,000+ excess...
by PS_RalphW
Wed Jan 13, 2021 9:49 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

Little John wrote: Tue Jan 12, 2021 5:59 pm .. bug that, at WORST case, leaves 99.96% of those who get it completely unharmed.
0.12% of the population have already died from this harmless bug.
by PS_RalphW
Tue Jan 12, 2021 7:51 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

The long term reduction in the number of physical beds in the NHS is well known. That the NHS suffers stress every recent winter also. Few on this forum would deny that nursing staff are under paid and junior doctors overworked. More and more of the NHS is being hived off to the private sector. If t...
by PS_RalphW
Mon Jan 11, 2021 10:25 pm
Forum: Preparations
Topic: Best way to heat my house
Replies: 4
Views: 56

Best way to heat my house

For my sins I live in a grade 2 listed (part) thatched cottage. It has 3 different roof constructions and 4 different wall constructions. It is currently heated by oil fired central heating and has 2 wood burning stoves in the old thatched part of the house. I have improved insulation in the modern ...
by PS_RalphW
Mon Jan 11, 2021 6:41 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

The Guardian is reporting that winter rates off common colds is down by 75%, influenza by 95%, and other respiratory and hand hygine linked infections are also lower than normal. So a small silver lining from the lockdowns. Hospital in Surrey bringing in emergency storage after their morgue is full.
by PS_RalphW
Fri Jan 08, 2021 11:40 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: New coronavirus in/from China
Replies: 7855
Views: 244716

Re: New coronavirus in/from China

The key metric is the supply of intensive care beds. This number has been sharply increased to try to match covid demand, many operating theatres have been shut down and converted into icu wards. Vast amounts of elective surgery has been cancelled, which will have reduced demand for general ward bed...